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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.9x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.7x - 2.9x | 2.8x |
Fair Value | €5.91 - €6.53 | €6.22 |
Upside | -4.0% - 6.1% | 1.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co.,Ltd. | 72,900.0% | SZSE:000729 |
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited | 29,100.0% | SEHK:291 |
Molson Coors Beverage Company | - | NYSE:TAP.A |
Ambev S.A. | - | BOVESPA:ABEV3 |
Brown-Forman Corporation | - | NYSE:BF.A |
Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited | - | DB:TSI |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
729 | 291 | TAP.A | ABEV3 | BF.A | TSI | |||
SZSE:000729 | SEHK:291 | NYSE:TAP.A | BOVESPA:ABEV3 | NYSE:BF.A | DB:TSI | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.4% | -0.8% | -0.6% | 12.2% | -5.0% | -2.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.6% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 11.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 12.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 24.5% | 13.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 7.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 13.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.1x | 12.0x | 7.0x | 7.6x | 14.9x | 11.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.5x | 2.2x | 1.0x | 2.5x | 4.1x | 2.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 32.7x | 17.6x | 10.4x | 15.8x | 16.7x | 19.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.0x | 2.5x | 4.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.5x | 3.6x | 4.2x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.7x | 2.9x | 3.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 32,433 | 32,433 | 32,433 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 87,992 | 92,623 | 97,254 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,845.0 | 1,845.0 | 1,845.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 47.69 | 50.20 | 52.71 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.79 | 6.09 | 6.39 | 6.16 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -6.0% | -1.1% | 3.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 729 | 291 | TAP.A | ABEV3 | BF.A | TSI | |
Value of Common Equity | 36,613 | 85,071 | 12,010 | 227,979 | 16,222 | 93,612 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,818.5 | 3,244.2 | 202.7 | 15,647.2 | 472.7 | 1,845.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 12.99 | 26.22 | 59.24 | 14.57 | 34.32 | 50.74 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.24 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.99 | 27.95 | 59.24 | 14.57 | 34.32 | 6.16 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | USD | BRL | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.24 |