Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd(TQN)之5Y DCF EBITDA Exit

股價

14.60 EUR

公允價值

17.14 EUR

0.1%

Revenue 5y CAGR

10.0%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

16.1%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit

股價

14.60 EUR

公允價值

17.14 EUR

看漲

17.4%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(JPY in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29

Revenue	950,663	920,200	922,400	932,400	942,900	953,300
% Growth	4.9%	-3.2%	0.2%	1.1%	1.1%	1.1%

EBITDA	89,254	85,900	92,800	94,800	95,868	96,925
% of Revenue	9.4%	9.3%	10.1%	10.2%	10.2%	10.2%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(JPY in millions)		Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29

EBITDA		85,900	92,800	94,800	95,868	96,925
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(57,400)	(55,800)	(55,800)	(54,868)	(53,925)

EBIT		28,500	37,000	39,000	41,000	43,000
Pro forma Taxes		(7,125)	(9,250)	(9,750)	(10,250)	(10,750)
NOPAT	25,389	21,375	27,750	29,250	30,750	32,250

Capital Expenditures	(52,341)	(50,000)	(50,000)	(50,000)	(52,000)	(52,000)
NWC Investment	(13,740)	9,377	(677)	(3,078)	(3,232)	(3,201)
(+) D&A	55,402	57,400	55,800	55,800	54,868	53,925

Free Cash Flow	14,710	38,152	32,873	31,972	30,386	30,974
% Growth		159%	-14%	-3%	-5%	2%

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