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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7.5x - 8.3x | 7.9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 23.0x - 25.4x | 24.2x |
Fair Value | €12.76 - €14.58 | €13.67 |
Upside | -24.6% - -13.8% | -19.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. | 7272 | TSE:7272 |
Isuzu Motors Limited | 7202 | TSE:7202 |
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft | BAMX.F | PINC:BAMX.F |
Stellantis N.V. | STLAP | ENXTPA:STLAP |
Geely Automobile Holdings Limited | 175 | SEHK:175 |
Toyota Motor Corporation | TOM | DB:TOM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
7272 | 7202 | BAMX.F | STLAP | 175 | TOM | ||
TSE:7272 | TSE:7202 | PINC:BAMX.F | ENXTPA:STLAP | SEHK:175 | DB:TOM | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.7% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 16.9% | |
3Y CAGR | 0.2% | 45.2% | -5.7% | -26.5% | 61.3% | 34.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -26.9% | -25.0% | -38.4% | -72.6% | 205.6% | -1.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 9.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 1.4% | 7.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 11.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 10.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 0.50x | 1.01x | 0.09x | 0.40x | 0.98x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 4.6x | 8.5x | 1.3x | 8.7x | 6.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 6.9x | 12.7x | 2.3x | 12.3x | 9.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 6.9x | 12.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.9x | 12.3x | 14.4x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 4,793,951 | 4,793,951 | 4,793,951 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 36,049,895 | 37,947,258 | 39,844,621 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9,587,012) | (9,587,012) | (9,587,012) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 26,462,883 | 28,360,246 | 30,257,609 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13,032.7 | 13,032.7 | 13,032.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2,030.50 | 2,176.08 | 2,321.67 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 162.6 | 162.6 | 162.6 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.49 | 13.38 | 14.28 | 16.91 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.2% | -20.9% | -15.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 7272 | 7202 | BAMX.F | STLAP | 175 | TOM | |
Enterprise Value | 1,200,347 | 1,599,778 | 144,318 | 14,322 | 94,228 | 45,424,934 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 372,999 | 379,122 | 16,184 | 35,392 | 40,865 | 13,881,381 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 536,049 | 279,737 | 1,652 | 11,888 | 31,503 | 17,057,548 | |
(-) Debt | (951,973) | (713,713) | (111,261) | (37,251) | (6,510) | (39,579,686) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (65,017) | (164,943) | (2,688) | (423) | (5,678) | (946,255) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,092,405 | 1,379,981 | 48,205 | 23,928 | 154,408 | 35,837,922 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 973.6 | 716.3 | 622.3 | 2,880.5 | 10,078.0 | 13,032.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1,122.00 | 1,926.50 | 77.47 | 8.31 | 15.32 | 2,749.85 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 162.62 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,122.00 | 1,926.50 | 88.05 | 8.31 | 16.36 | 16.91 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | USD | EUR | HKD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 162.62 |