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觀察名單
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ProPicks AI
篩選器
數據瀏覽
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Tesla Motors Inc
DB:TL0
美國 / 非必需消費品 / 汽車
貨幣
€
加入觀察名單
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
219.10
EUR
公允價值
202.22
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
11.3% - 10.3%
10.8%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
1.8x - 2.0x
1.9x
Fair Value
€188.02 - €217.39
€202.22
Upside
-14.2% - -0.8%
-7.7%
21.6%
Revenue 10y CAGR
17.0%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
64.1%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
219.10
EUR
公允價值
202.22
EUR
看漲
-7.7%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
97,690
109,850
127,888
150,948
189,714
225,722
265,636
437,913
519,012
601,704
688,801
% Growth
0.9%
12.4%
16.4%
18.0%
25.7%
19.0%
17.7%
64.9%
18.5%
15.9%
14.5%
EBITDA
13,027
17,655
22,243
27,115
41,248
45,802
54,763
65,760
76,045
84,379
87,069
% of Revenue
13.3%
16.1%
17.4%
18.0%
21.7%
20.3%
20.6%
15.0%
14.7%
14.0%
12.6%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
17,655
22,243
27,115
41,248
45,802
54,763
65,760
76,045
84,379
87,069
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(8,344)
(9,676)
(9,244)
(14,123)
(11,312)
(13,312)
(21,946)
(26,010)
(30,154)
(34,519)
EBIT
9,311
12,567
17,871
27,125
34,490
41,451
43,814
50,035
54,225
52,550
Pro forma Taxes
(1,490)
(2,011)
(2,859)
(4,340)
(5,518)
(6,632)
(7,010)
(8,006)
(8,676)
(8,408)
NOPAT
6,434
7,822
10,556
15,012
22,785
28,972
34,819
36,804
42,029
45,549
44,142
Capital Expenditures
(11,342)
(11,181)
(11,496)
(11,861)
(11,787)
(12,510)
(12,052)
(12,116)
(12,226)
(12,132)
(12,158)
NWC Investment
32
428
635
812
1,365
1,268
1,406
6,068
2,857
2,913
3,068
(+) D&A
5,368
8,344
9,676
9,244
14,123
11,312
13,312
21,946
26,010
30,154
34,519
Free Cash Flow
492
5,413
9,372
13,207
26,486
29,042
37,484
52,702
58,670
66,484
69,571
% Growth
73%
41%
101%
10%
29%
41%
11%
13%
5%
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