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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | €0.32 - €0.38 | €0.35 |
Upside | 10.2% - 34.4% | 22.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited | CPF | SET:CPF |
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited | COCOCO | SET:COCOCO |
Oceana Group Limited | OCGP.F | OTCPK:OCGP.F |
Maruha Nichiro Corporation | 1333 | TSE:1333 |
Austevoll Seafood ASA | AUSS | OB:AUSS |
Thai Union Group Public Company Limited | THYG | DB:THYG |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CPF | COCOCO | OCGP.F | 1333 | AUSS | THYG | |||
SET:CPF | SET:COCOCO | OTCPK:OCGP.F | TSE:1333 | OB:AUSS | DB:THYG | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 1.7% | 22.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 8.7% | 1.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 4.1% | 23.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | -0.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.0% | 41.5% | 0.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.0% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 2.5% | 12.0% | 5.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.4% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 2.6% | 11.5% | 5.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 5.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.73x | 1.73x | 0.95x | 0.37x | 1.09x | 0.70x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.4x | 15.3x | 6.0x | 13.5x | 9.5x | 13.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.34x | 1.56x | 0.69x | 0.15x | 0.56x | 0.32x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.37x | 0.95x | 1.73x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 0.73x | 0.93x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.72x | 0.76x | 0.80x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 138,433 | 138,433 | 138,433 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 100,319 | 105,599 | 110,879 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (51,839) | (51,839) | (51,839) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 48,479 | 53,759 | 59,039 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,104.2 | 4,104.2 | 4,104.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 11.81 | 13.10 | 14.38 | |||||
FX Rate: THB/EUR | 37.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.29 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 11.6% | 23.7% | 35.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CPF | COCOCO | OCGP.F | 1333 | AUSS | THYG | |
Enterprise Value | 426,765 | 11,219 | 10,545 | 391,587 | 38,534 | 95,293 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30,502 | 547 | 764 | 45,697 | 5,719 | 16,464 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 282,647 | 0 | 274 | 75,093 | 3,843 | 9,626 | |
(-) Debt | (494,897) | (1,697) | (3,534) | (304,489) | (15,923) | (70,252) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (47,183) | 1 | (141) | (43,282) | (12,596) | (7,678) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 197,833 | 10,070 | 7,908 | 164,606 | 19,577 | 43,454 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 8,243.1 | 1,470.0 | 135.4 | 50.4 | 201.8 | 4,104.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 24.00 | 6.85 | 58.42 | 3,268.00 | 97.00 | 10.59 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 37.02 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 24.00 | 6.85 | 3.10 | 3,268.00 | 97.00 | 0.29 | |
Trading Currency | THB | THB | USD | JPY | NOK | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 37.02 |