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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 13.8x - 15.2x | 14.5x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 9.7x - 10.7x | 10.2x |
Fair Value | €343.18 - €378.60 | €360.89 |
Upside | -36.8% - -30.2% | -33.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
The Boeing Company | BA | NYSE:BA |
Byrna Technologies Inc. | BYRN | NasdaqCM:BYRN |
TransDigm Group Incorporated | TDG | NYSE:TDG |
VirTra, Inc. | VTSI | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
General Electric Company | GE | NYSE:GE |
Axon Enterprise, Inc. | TCS | DB:TCS |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BA | BYRN | TDG | VTSI | GE | TCS | |||
NYSE:BA | NasdaqCM:BYRN | NYSE:TDG | NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:GE | DB:TCS | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -2.8% | 147.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | -15.6% | 31.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 2.2% | 26.7% | 18.3% | 2.5% | -11.8% | 34.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -9.2% | 87.3% | 16.9% | -32.1% | 8.8% | 33.4% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -5.0% | -21.4% | 40.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | -0.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.7% | -18.3% | 44.6% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 10.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -15.1% | 7.8% | 45.3% | 7.6% | 20.0% | 3.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -13.7% | 9.0% | 46.5% | 7.6% | 21.6% | 3.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.48x | 5.14x | 12.33x | 1.45x | 4.87x | 23.36x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -18.1x | 57.4x | 26.5x | 19.1x | 22.5x | 633.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.02x | 5.31x | 9.56x | 1.82x | 5.63x | 23.48x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.45x | 4.87x | 12.33x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 10.69x | 11.67x | 23.36x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 13.77x | 14.50x | 15.22x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 2,083 | 2,083 | 2,083 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 28,685 | 30,194 | 31,704 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 588 | 588 | 588 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 29,273 | 30,782 | 32,292 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 77.8 | 77.8 | 77.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 376.02 | 395.41 | 414.81 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 331.61 | 348.72 | 365.82 | 542.60 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -38.9% | -35.7% | -32.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BA | BYRN | TDG | VTSI | GE | TCS | |
Enterprise Value | 171,822 | 496 | 105,164 | 40 | 190,832 | 47,309 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 23,653 | 19 | 2,518 | 18 | 13,005 | 986 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1,001 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 39,905 | 333 | |
(-) Debt | (55,878) | (3) | (25,110) | (8) | (20,714) | (731) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (7) | 0 | (217) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | (6) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 140,592 | 512 | 82,591 | 50 | 222,811 | 47,897 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 754.0 | 22.7 | 56.1 | 11.3 | 1,066.4 | 77.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 186.46 | 22.60 | 1,472.62 | 4.44 | 208.94 | 615.26 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 186.46 | 22.60 | 1,472.62 | 4.44 | 208.94 | 542.60 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 |