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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 182.0x - 201.1x | 191.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 29.3x - 32.4x | 30.8x |
| Fair Value | €286.27 - €315.67 | €300.97 |
| Upside | -37.4% - -31.0% | -34.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| TransDigm Group Incorporated | TDG | NYSE:TDG |
| Byrna Technologies Inc. | BYRN | NasdaqCM:BYRN |
| Leonardo DRS, Inc. | DRS | NasdaqGS:DRS |
| VirTra, Inc. | VTSI | NasdaqCM:VTSI |
| The Boeing Company | BA | NYSE:BA |
| Axon Enterprise, Inc. | TCS | DB:TCS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TDG | BYRN | DRS | VTSI | BA | TCS | ||
| NYSE:TDG | NasdaqCM:BYRN | NasdaqGS:DRS | NasdaqCM:VTSI | NYSE:BA | DB:TCS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.6% | NM- | 11.2% | 35.8% | NM- | 78.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.9% | NM- | 9.4% | 15.3% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.9% | 225.0% | 19.9% | -72.3% | -359.4% | -29.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 45.1% | -37.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | -1.5% | 1.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 48.7% | -15.3% | 11.6% | 29.2% | 4.1% | 11.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 49.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | -12.3% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | -12.3% | 6.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 11.28x | 3.87x | 2.46x | 1.47x | 1.99x | 18.17x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.3x | 40.7x | 20.3x | 12.4x | -16.2x | 302.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.3x | 49.8x | 26.4x | 19.4x | -13.2x | 492.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -16.2x | 20.3x | 40.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -323.7x | 123.9x | 302.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 182.0x | 191.5x | 201.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 125 | 125 | 125 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22,794 | 23,994 | 25,193 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 588 | 588 | 588 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 23,382 | 24,582 | 25,781 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.6 | 76.6 | 76.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 305.15 | 320.81 | 336.47 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 279.28 | 293.61 | 307.93 | 457.50 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -39.0% | -35.8% | -32.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TDG | BYRN | DRS | VTSI | BA | TCS | |
| Enterprise Value | 92,653 | 329 | 7,953 | 40 | 133,177 | 37,715 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,518 | 26 | 598 | 18 | 26,261 | 986 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 999 | 333 | |
| (-) Debt | (25,110) | (3) | (458) | (8) | (55,958) | (731) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (7) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 70,080 | 352 | 8,093 | 49 | 104,479 | 38,303 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 56.1 | 22.6 | 265.2 | 11.3 | 752.4 | 76.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,249.55 | 15.55 | 30.52 | 4.39 | 138.86 | 499.89 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.09 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,249.55 | 15.55 | 30.52 | 4.39 | 138.86 | 457.50 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.09 | |