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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Fair Value | €2.99 - €3.46 | €3.23 |
| Upside | 25.6% - 45.5% | 35.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Tele Columbus AG | TC1 | HMSE:TC1 |
| Sporttotal AG | WIG1 | XTRA:WIG1 |
| Ströer SE & Co. KGaA | SAX | XTRA:SAX |
| ad pepper media International N.V. | APM | XTRA:APM |
| Springer Nature AG & Co. KGaA | SPG | XTRA:SPG |
| SYZYGY AG | SYZ | DB:SYZ |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| TC1 | WIG1 | SAX | APM | SPG | SYZ | |||
| HMSE:TC1 | XTRA:WIG1 | XTRA:SAX | XTRA:APM | XTRA:SPG | DB:SYZ | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% | NM- | 1.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -1.3% | 25.0% | 7.9% | -5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.8% | -19.5% | 6.9% | -6.8% | 4.9% | -3.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -6.2% | -33.2% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 19.8% | 6.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -13.8% | -19.3% | 12.2% | -2.5% | 21.9% | 5.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -14.0% | -17.5% | 13.6% | -8.2% | 20.7% | 8.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -18.8% | -21.7% | 13.6% | 0.6% | 20.7% | 8.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.96x | 0.89x | 2.32x | 1.64x | 2.74x | 0.78x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -21.1x | -4.1x | 17.1x | 275.3x | 13.2x | 9.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.34x | 0.03x | 1.47x | 2.59x | 1.92x | 0.48x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 2.32x | 3.96x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.78x | 1.28x | 1.93x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.88x | 0.92x | 0.97x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 69 | 69 | 69 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 61 | 64 | 67 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (21) | (21) | (21) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 40 | 44 | 47 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.99 | 3.23 | 3.46 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.99 | 3.23 | 3.46 | 2.38 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 25.6% | 35.6% | 45.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TC1 | WIG1 | SAX | APM | SPG | SYZ | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,857 | 34 | 4,691 | 34 | 3,783 | 53 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 58 | 1 | 75 | 18 | 0 | 4 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,760) | (34) | (1,799) | (1) | 0 | (25) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | (0) | (11) | (1) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 148 | 1 | 2,982 | 55 | 3,783 | 32 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 296.6 | 35.4 | 55.8 | 22.0 | 198.9 | 13.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.50 | 0.03 | 53.40 | 2.50 | 19.02 | 2.38 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.50 | 0.03 | 53.40 | 2.50 | 19.02 | 2.38 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |