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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15.3x - 17.0x | 16.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.3x - 14.7x | 14.0x |
| Fair Value | €20.06 - €22.45 | €21.25 |
| Upside | -6.1% - 5.1% | -0.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Epiroc AB (publ) | EPI A | OM:EPIA |
| Beijer Alma AB (publ) | BEIA B | OM:BEIAB |
| Trelleborg AB (publ) | TREL B | OM:TRELB |
| Troax Group AB (publ) | TROAX | OM:TROAX |
| FLSmidth & Co. A/S | FLS | CPSE:FLS |
| Sandvik AB (publ) | SVKB | DB:SVKB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| EPI A | BEIA B | TREL B | TROAX | FLS | SVKB | ||
| OM:EPIA | OM:BEIAB | OM:TRELB | OM:TROAX | CPSE:FLS | DB:SVKB | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | -5.3% | 33.7% | 2.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.7% | 9.2% | -0.2% | -25.5% | 64.1% | 5.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 4.7% | 17.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.9% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 4.6% | 18.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 19.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 15.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 17.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.80x | 2.55x | 2.62x | 2.98x | 1.19x | 2.78x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.7x | 16.8x | 12.8x | 15.8x | 10.3x | 12.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.5x | 19.6x | 16.5x | 23.5x | 12.2x | 16.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.2x | 19.5x | 23.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.8x | 15.1x | 19.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.3x | 16.1x | 17.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 21,116 | 21,116 | 21,116 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 323,891 | 340,938 | 357,985 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (37,317) | (37,317) | (37,317) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 286,574 | 303,621 | 320,668 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,254.4 | 1,254.4 | 1,254.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 228.46 | 242.05 | 255.64 | ||||
| FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.45 | 21.66 | 22.88 | 21.36 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.3% | 1.4% | 7.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | EPI A | BEIA B | TREL B | TROAX | FLS | SVKB | |
| Enterprise Value | 248,094 | 19,161 | 91,514 | 821 | 23,886 | 336,675 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,004 | 461 | 2,073 | 25 | 859 | 3,449 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,315 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 91 | 9,793 | |
| (-) Debt | (21,346) | (3,650) | (10,770) | (90) | (1,837) | (50,490) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (17) | (123) | (4) | 0 | 15 | (69) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 238,050 | 15,849 | 82,827 | 756 | 23,014 | 299,358 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,209.0 | 60.3 | 227.4 | 59.8 | 56.4 | 1,254.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 196.90 | 263.00 | 364.20 | 12.64 | 408.40 | 238.65 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 11.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 196.90 | 263.00 | 364.20 | 141.20 | 408.40 | 21.36 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | DKK | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 11.17 | |