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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.7x - 14.0x | 13.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.9x - 9.9x | 9.4x |
| Fair Value | €27.28 - €33.41 | €30.34 |
| Upside | 5.8% - 29.5% | 17.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| NORMA Group SE | NOEJ | XTRA:NOEJ |
| LEWAG Holding Aktiengesellschaft | KGR | DB:KGR |
| DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft | DEZ | XTRA:DEZ |
| Traton SE | 8TRA | XTRA:8TRA |
| KION GROUP AG | KGX | XTRA:KGX |
| Stabilus SE | STM | DB:STM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NOEJ | KGR | DEZ | 8TRA | KGX | STM | ||
| XTRA:NOEJ | DB:KGR | XTRA:DEZ | XTRA:8TRA | XTRA:KGX | DB:STM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -16.1% | -9.2% | -16.4% | 18.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -15.2% | 80.1% | 12.9% | 51.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -46.5% | -11.6% | -95.5% | -6.6% | -25.0% | -17.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 11.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 11.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 1.33x | 0.66x | 0.79x | 1.23x | 1.04x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 20.8x | 17.1x | 5.8x | 9.3x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.7x | 35.4x | 226.5x | 9.0x | 26.6x | 12.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 26.6x | 226.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 11.3x | 25.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.7x | 13.3x | 14.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 116 | 116 | 116 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,464 | 1,541 | 1,618 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (763) | (763) | (763) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 701 | 778 | 855 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 28.38 | 31.49 | 34.61 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.38 | 31.49 | 34.61 | 25.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.0% | 22.1% | 34.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NOEJ | KGR | DEZ | 8TRA | KGX | STM | |
| Enterprise Value | 825 | 168 | 1,233 | 36,538 | 13,794 | 1,400 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 108 | 8 | 86 | 2,343 | 750 | 95 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1,891 | 111 | 6 | |
| (-) Debt | (446) | (27) | (296) | (24,276) | (7,778) | (833) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | (0) | 0 | (6) | (18) | (31) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 487 | 149 | 1,067 | 16,490 | 6,858 | 637 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.9 | 4.8 | 138.8 | 500.0 | 131.1 | 24.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.30 | 31.40 | 7.69 | 32.98 | 52.30 | 25.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.30 | 31.40 | 7.69 | 32.98 | 52.30 | 25.80 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |