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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9.7x - 10.7x | 10.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.4x - 8.2x | 7.8x |
| Fair Value | €21.57 - €24.01 | €22.79 |
| Upside | -7.8% - 2.6% | -2.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| The Keihin Co., Ltd. | 9312 | TSE:9312 |
| Loginet Japan Co., Ltd. | 9027 | SPSE:9027 |
| Chuo Warehouse Co.,Ltd. | 9319 | TSE:9319 |
| AZ-COM MARUWA Holdings Inc. | 9090 | TSE:9090 |
| Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. | 9147 | TSE:9147 |
| Being Holdings Co., Ltd. | SO0 | DB:SO0 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9312 | 9027 | 9319 | 9090 | 9147 | SO0 | ||
| TSE:9312 | SPSE:9027 | TSE:9319 | TSE:9090 | TSE:9147 | DB:SO0 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.8% | 1.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | -5.2% | 32.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -2.6% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | -8.0% | 26.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 33.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 6.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 8.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.14x | 0.27x | 0.51x | 0.74x | 0.58x | 0.86x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.4x | 3.8x | 3.5x | 10.2x | 6.1x | 8.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 5.8x | 6.5x | 13.1x | 25.4x | 10.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 6.5x | 25.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.9x | 11.8x | 12.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.7x | 10.2x | 10.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 2,456 | 2,456 | 2,456 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 23,754 | 25,005 | 26,255 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,671) | (1,671) | (1,671) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 22,083 | 23,334 | 24,584 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,665.38 | 3,872.90 | 4,080.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 172.5 | 172.5 | 172.5 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21.25 | 22.45 | 23.66 | 23.40 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.2% | -4.0% | 1.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9312 | 9027 | 9319 | 9090 | 9147 | SO0 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,954 | 21,364 | 14,136 | 160,423 | 1,396,670 | 25,987 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,711 | 1,048 | 7,135 | 42,396 | 193,721 | 5,874 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9,581 | 4,134 | 13,396 | 13,249 | 45,267 | 625 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,260) | (7,767) | (7,080) | (44,385) | (869,179) | (7,782) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (289) | (2,676) | (18,343) | (388) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 17,986 | 18,779 | 27,298 | 169,007 | 748,136 | 24,316 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.5 | 5.3 | 18.4 | 134.7 | 247.3 | 6.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,755.00 | 3,515.00 | 1,487.00 | 1,255.00 | 3,025.00 | 4,035.96 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.48 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,755.00 | 3,515.00 | 1,487.00 | 1,255.00 | 3,025.00 | 23.40 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.48 | |