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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.7x - 6.3x | 6.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5.4x - 6.0x | 5.7x |
| Fair Value | €37.73 - €42.14 | €39.94 |
| Upside | -21.7% - -12.6% | -17.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Loginet Japan Co., Ltd. | 9027 | SPSE:9027 |
| Chuo Warehouse Co.,Ltd. | 9319 | TSE:9319 |
| Being Holdings Co., Ltd. | 9145 | TSE:9145 |
| The Keihin Co., Ltd. | 9312 | TSE:9312 |
| Takase Corporation | 9087 | TSE:9087 |
| Sankyu Inc. | SNK | DB:SNK |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9027 | 9319 | 9145 | 9312 | 9087 | SNK | ||
| SPSE:9027 | TSE:9319 | TSE:9145 | TSE:9312 | TSE:9087 | DB:SNK | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.8% | 6.1% | NM- | 6.0% | -1.8% | 1.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.3% | 7.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% | -8.9% | 6.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | 3.3% | 21.3% | 16.3% | -11.9% | 17.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.7% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.2% | NA | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.3% | NA | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.30x | 0.50x | 0.89x | 0.13x | 0.07x | 0.76x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 3.5x | 8.8x | 1.3x | 1.4x | 7.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.3x | 6.5x | 11.3x | 2.3x | 7.2x | 10.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.3x | 3.5x | 8.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.8x | 5.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.7x | 6.0x | 6.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 64,478 | 64,478 | 64,478 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 369,829 | 389,294 | 408,759 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (37,049) | (37,049) | (37,049) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 332,780 | 352,245 | 371,710 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 51.8 | 51.8 | 51.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6,427.05 | 6,802.98 | 7,178.91 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 171.6 | 171.6 | 171.6 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 37.44 | 39.63 | 41.82 | 48.20 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.3% | -17.8% | -13.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9027 | 9319 | 9145 | 9312 | 9087 | SNK | |
| Enterprise Value | 23,153 | 13,972 | 28,198 | 6,778 | 621 | 465,421 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,048 | 7,136 | 3,818 | 9,711 | 1,889 | 44,472 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,134 | 12,607 | 608 | 9,581 | 987 | 33,174 | |
| (-) Debt | (7,767) | (7,081) | (6,916) | (8,260) | (898) | (111,029) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (289) | (434) | 0 | 0 | (3,666) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 20,568 | 26,344 | 25,274 | 17,810 | 2,599 | 428,372 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.3 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 51.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,850.00 | 1,436.00 | 4,195.00 | 2,728.00 | 1,288.00 | 8,273.23 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.64 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,850.00 | 1,436.00 | 4,195.00 | 2,728.00 | 1,288.00 | 48.20 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.64 | |