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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.1x - 2.3x | 2.2x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
| Fair Value | €2.80 - €3.32 | €3.06 |
| Upside | -35.6% - -23.4% | -29.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Veolia Environnement SA | VEOE.F | OTCPK:VEOE.F |
| Gallant Venture Ltd. | 5IG | SGX:5IG |
| Unitil Corporation | UTL | NYSE:UTL |
| E.ON SE | EOAN | DB:EOAN |
| Canadian Utilities Limited | CU | TSX:CU |
| Sembcorp Industries Ltd | SBOA | DB:SBOA |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| VEOE.F | 5IG | UTL | EOAN | CU | SBOA | |||
| OTCPK:VEOE.F | SGX:5IG | NYSE:UTL | DB:EOAN | TSX:CU | DB:SBOA | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 14.6% | -0.8% | -1.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 16.2% | 9.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.5% | 4.5% | -11.2% | -14.0% | -1.4% | -8.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.6% | 2.7% | 16.3% | 4.2% | 29.0% | 13.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 1.0% | 27.3% | 16.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.0% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 25.6% | 17.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.0% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 25.6% | 17.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.88x | 2.47x | 3.39x | 0.80x | 5.94x | 2.69x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 19.7x | 18.1x | 7.4x | 23.2x | 15.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.50x | 2.23x | 1.87x | 0.45x | 2.66x | 1.78x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.80x | 2.47x | 5.94x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 2.30x | 3.61x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.05x | 2.16x | 2.27x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6,417 | 6,417 | 6,417 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,163 | 13,856 | 14,548 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,848) | (5,848) | (5,848) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,315 | 8,008 | 8,700 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,778.9 | 1,778.9 | 1,778.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.11 | 4.50 | 4.89 | |||||
| FX Rate: SGD/EUR | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.79 | 3.05 | 3.31 | 4.34 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.8% | -29.7% | -23.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | VEOE.F | 5IG | UTL | EOAN | CU | SBOA | |
| Enterprise Value | 39,101 | 472 | 1,670 | 63,814 | 22,215 | 17,242 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,764 | 118 | 6 | 7,025 | 397 | 979 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 3,006 | 360 | 6 | 9,996 | 242 | 2,871 | |
| (-) Debt | (29,282) | (515) | (756) | (39,064) | (11,118) | (9,400) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,391) | (9) | (0) | (6,325) | (212) | (298) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,571) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 22,198 | 426 | 926 | 35,446 | 9,953 | 11,394 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 730.0 | 5,463.2 | 16.2 | 2,613.1 | 271.6 | 1,778.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 30.41 | 0.08 | 57.01 | 13.57 | 36.65 | 6.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.48 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 33.32 | 0.08 | 57.01 | 13.57 | 36.65 | 4.34 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | SGD | USD | EUR | CAD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.48 | |