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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 31.1x - 34.4x | 32.7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.8x - 11.9x | 11.4x |
Fair Value | €4.18 - €4.83 | €4.51 |
Upside | 11.3% - 28.7% | 20.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Acconeer AB (publ) | ACCON | OM:ACCON |
Frontwalker AB (publ) | FRWA B | NGM:FRWAB |
Westpay AB | WPAY | OM:WPAY |
Thunderful Group AB | THUNDR | OM:THUNDR |
DistIT AB (publ) | DIST | OM:DIST |
Sensys Gatso Group AB (publ) | S5E0 | DB:S5E0 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ACCON | FRWA B | WPAY | THUNDR | DIST | S5E0 | ||
OM:ACCON | NGM:FRWAB | OM:WPAY | OM:THUNDR | OM:DIST | DB:S5E0 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -17.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 19.9% | 92.8% | 94.8% | -15.7% | 8.9% | -35.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -193.6% | -14.3% | -22.7% | -48.4% | -0.1% | 5.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -131.9% | -8.3% | -29.1% | -102.1% | -3.8% | 6.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -56.2% | -22.6% | -1.8% | -228.8% | -5.1% | 3.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -59.3% | -3.8% | -1.1% | -215.5% | -4.5% | 4.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.96x | 0.86x | 1.92x | 0.26x | 0.34x | 1.14x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -11.3x | -22.4x | 36.7x | -0.4x | -8.4x | 12.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -10.1x | -22.6x | -182.9x | -0.1x | -7.6x | 28.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -182.9x | -10.1x | -0.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 21.6x | 30.5x | 177.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 31.1x | 32.7x | 34.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 26 | 26 | 26 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 822 | 865 | 908 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (265) | (265) | (265) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 557 | 600 | 644 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.5 | 11.5 | 11.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 48.32 | 52.07 | 55.82 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 11.2 | 11.2 | 11.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.31 | 4.65 | 4.98 | 3.76 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 14.8% | 23.7% | 32.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ACCON | FRWA B | WPAY | THUNDR | DIST | S5E0 | |
Enterprise Value | 293 | 38 | 169 | 98 | 497 | 750 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 70 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 125 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (2) | (11) | (67) | (379) | (400) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 363 | 37 | 158 | 48 | 134 | 485 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 73.1 | 124.9 | 99.3 | 74.5 | 311.9 | 11.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.97 | 0.30 | 1.59 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 42.08 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.21 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.97 | 0.30 | 1.59 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 3.76 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.21 |