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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7.5x - 8.2x | 7.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6.3x - 7.0x | 6.7x |
| Fair Value | €0.88 - €0.98 | €0.93 |
| Upside | 44.9% - 61.2% | 53.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Dustin Group AB (publ) | DUST | OM:DUST |
| Alcadon Group AB (publ) | ALCA | OM:ALCA |
| Nordic LEVEL Group AB (publ.) | LEVEL | OM:LEVEL |
| Sensys Gatso Group AB (publ) | SGG | OM:SGG |
| Fingerprint Cards AB (publ) | FING B | OM:FINGB |
| Pricer AB (publ) | PRRB | DB:PRRB |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| DUST | ALCA | LEVEL | SGG | FING B | PRRB | ||
| OM:DUST | OM:ALCA | OM:LEVEL | OM:SGG | OM:FINGB | DB:PRRB | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.2% | 17.8% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 14.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -16.9% | 2.2% | NM- | -17.7% | NM- | 24.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -84.8% | -13.8% | -1041.0% | -40.9% | 25.9% | 954.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 6.9% | -7.3% | 4.6% | -21.9% | 4.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.3% | 5.4% | 0.2% | 6.3% | -44.8% | 0.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 4.6% | -2.1% | 3.7% | -58.1% | 7.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.4% | 4.6% | -2.1% | 3.7% | -58.1% | 7.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.22x | 0.57x | 0.50x | 1.00x | 0.26x | 0.50x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.7x | 7.9x | 13.1x | 9.2x | 0.7x | 5.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 58.4x | 13.0x | -23.3x | 27.2x | -0.4x | 6.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -23.3x | 13.0x | 58.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.4x | 40.0x | 158.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 200 | 200 | 200 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,495 | 1,574 | 1,652 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (108) | (108) | (108) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,387 | 1,465 | 1,544 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 164.5 | 164.5 | 164.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.43 | 8.91 | 9.39 | ||||
| FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.61 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 26.1% | 33.3% | 40.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DUST | ALCA | LEVEL | SGG | FING B | PRRB | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,662 | 927 | 190 | 634 | 112 | 1,208 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 839 | 58 | 8 | 165 | 12 | 489 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 76 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,174) | (421) | (83) | (382) | (20) | (598) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,403 | 564 | 116 | 428 | 159 | 1,099 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 452.5 | 24.5 | 193.9 | 11.5 | 15,171.6 | 164.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.10 | 23.00 | 0.60 | 37.15 | 0.01 | 6.68 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.03 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.10 | 23.00 | 0.60 | 37.15 | 0.01 | 0.61 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 11.03 | |