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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -3.7x - -4.1x | -3.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 8.9x | 8.5x |
| Fair Value | €0.14 - €0.17 | €0.15 |
| Upside | 25.3% - 57.1% | 41.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| New Pacific Metals Corp. | NUAG | TSX:NUAG |
| Trilogy Metals Inc. | TMQ | TSX:TMQ |
| Adriatic Metals PLC | 3FNA | DB:3FNA |
| Dundee Precious Metals Inc. | DPM | TSX:DPM |
| MAG Silver Corp. | MAG | TSX:MAG |
| Bear Creek Mining Corporation | OU6 | DB:OU6 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NUAG | TMQ | 3FNA | DPM | MAG | OU6 | ||
| TSX:NUAG | TSX:TMQ | DB:3FNA | TSX:DPM | TSX:MAG | DB:OU6 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 30.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | -0.4% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.5% | -18.7% | -90.7% | 45.6% | -34.3% | -19.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -148.7% | NA | -9181.4% | 36.3% | NA | -35.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | NA | NA | NA | 36.3% | NA | -32.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | NA | NA | -152.5% | 39.2% | NA | -23.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | NA | NA | -152.5% | 43.1% | NA | -29.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | NA | NA | 56.49x | 3.97x | NA | 1.07x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.2x | -17.3x | -39.4x | 7.2x | -92.6x | 14.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -47.5x | -17.3x | -37.1x | 9.2x | -89.3x | -3.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -89.3x | -37.1x | 9.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -17.4x | -7.3x | -1.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -3.7x | -3.9x | -4.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (29) | (29) | (29) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 109 | 115 | 121 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (66) | (66) | (66) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 43 | 49 | 55 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 292.2 | 292.2 | 292.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.11 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.1% | 31.6% | 47.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NUAG | TMQ | 3FNA | DPM | MAG | OU6 | |
| Enterprise Value | 256 | 129 | 1,481 | 2,593 | 1,831 | 103 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 17 | 25 | 21 | 332 | 172 | 7 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 106 | 0 | 3 | 378 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (0) | (191) | (15) | (2) | (73) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 274 | 259 | 1,311 | 2,913 | 2,379 | 37 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 171.9 | 164.2 | 345.5 | 166.9 | 103.7 | 292.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.59 | 1.58 | 3.80 | 17.45 | 22.95 | 0.13 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.20 | 2.18 | 3.26 | 24.09 | 31.68 | 0.11 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | EUR | CAD | CAD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.16 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.16 | |