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Occidental Petroleum Corp

DB:OPC

美國 / 能源 / 燃油、氣體及消耗品燃料

綜觀

5 年 DCF 增長退出價

股價

36.01 EUR

公允價值

41.23 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	11.3% - 10.3%	10.8%
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.0% - 0.5%	0.0%
Fair Value	€38.09 - €47.40	€41.23
Upside	5.8% - 31.7%	14.5%

1.4%

Revenue 5y CAGR

52.3%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

15.4%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit

股價

36.01 EUR

公允價值

41.23 EUR

看漲

14.5%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(USD in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	26,725	27,378	28,937	29,124	28,620	28,596
% Growth	-5.4%	2.4%	5.7%	0.6%	-1.7%	-0.1%

EBITDA	12,964	13,977	14,221	15,171	14,908	16,377
% of Revenue	48.5%	51.1%	49.1%	52.1%	52.1%	57.3%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Terminal

EBITDA		13,977	14,221	15,171	14,908	16,377	16,377
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(7,173)	(6,315)	(7,101)	(7,086)	(8,502)	(5,223)

EBIT		6,804	7,906	8,070	7,822	7,875	11,154
Pro forma Taxes		(1,361)	(1,581)	(1,614)	(1,564)	(1,575)	(2,231)
NOPAT	4,207	5,443	6,325	6,456	6,258	6,300	8,924

Capital Expenditures	(7,347)	(7,500)	(7,329)	(7,297)	(6,037)	(5,498)	(5,498)
NWC Investment	(15)	7	16	2	(5)	(0)	0
(+) D&A	7,705	7,173	6,315	7,101	7,086	8,502	5,223

Free Cash Flow	4,550	5,123	5,326	6,262	7,301	9,304	8,649
% Growth		13%	4%	18%	17%	27%	-7%

載入錯誤

Occidental Petroleum Corp

DB:OPC

美國 / 能源 / 燃油、氣體及消耗品燃料

5 年 DCF 增長退出價