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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Fair Value | €48.26 - €52.63 | €50.44 |
| Upside | -14.3% - -6.5% | -10.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Elecnor, S.A. | ENO | BME:ENO |
| Obrascón Huarte Lain, S.A. | OHLA | BME:OHLA |
| Sacyr, S.A. | SCYR | BME:SCYR |
| Chiyoda Corporation | CYA | DB:CYA |
| Webuild S.p.A. | WBD | BIT:WBD |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A. | OCI1 | DB:OCI1 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ENO | OHLA | SCYR | CYA | WBD | OCI1 | |||
| BME:ENO | BME:OHLA | BME:SCYR | DB:CYA | BIT:WBD | DB:OCI1 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 18.2% | 1.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 6.9% | 9.5% | -0.9% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 14.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.7% | 16.6% | 1.7% | -12.4% | 18.7% | 16.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 1.1% | 20.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 2.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.9% | 2.9% | 27.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 2.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.6% | 2.0% | 26.5% | -3.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.7% | 2.0% | 25.1% | -2.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.40x | 0.09x | 2.34x | -0.10x | 0.23x | 0.30x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -24.4x | 4.3x | 9.3x | -1.9x | 45.1x | 15.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.44x | 0.10x | 0.57x | 0.18x | 0.31x | 0.34x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | -0.10x | 0.23x | 2.34x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.10x | 0.30x | 0.33x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.25x | 0.27x | 0.28x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 41,636 | 41,636 | 41,636 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,565 | 11,121 | 11,677 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,706 | 1,706 | 1,706 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,271 | 12,827 | 13,383 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 254.8 | 254.8 | 254.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 48.16 | 50.34 | 52.52 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 48.16 | 50.34 | 52.52 | 56.30 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.5% | -10.6% | -6.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ENO | OHLA | SCYR | CYA | WBD | OCI1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,548 | 339 | 10,841 | (62,246) | 2,547 | 12,639 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 429 | 707 | 1,477 | 160,656 | 3,217 | 12,343 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5,847 | 779 | 4,100 | |
| (-) Debt | (270) | (694) | (8,604) | (23,599) | (2,945) | (14,337) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (5) | (1,087) | (1,847) | (236) | (401) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,707 | 375 | 2,627 | 78,811 | 3,362 | 14,345 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 84.7 | 1,190.1 | 791.2 | 259.1 | 993.5 | 254.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 20.15 | 0.32 | 3.32 | 304.15 | 3.38 | 56.30 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 163.52 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.15 | 0.32 | 3.32 | 1.86 | 3.38 | 56.30 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 163.52 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |