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WarrenAI
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Novartis AG
DB:NOTA
瑞士 / 保健 / 製藥
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€
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
100.50
EUR
公允價值
120.86
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.5% - 7.5%
8.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
10.3x - 12.3x
11.3x
Fair Value
€110.26 - €131.89
€120.86
Upside
9.7% - 31.2%
20.3%
3.2%
Revenue 5y CAGR
42.8%
5y Avg EBITDA Margin
4.9%
Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR
5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
100.50
EUR
公允價值
120.86
EUR
看漲
20.3%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Revenue
51,722
53,380
54,655
55,711
57,718
60,616
% Growth
10.8%
3.2%
2.4%
1.9%
3.6%
5.0%
EBITDA
20,662
23,135
22,530
23,715
24,866
26,652
% of Revenue
39.9%
43.3%
41.2%
42.6%
43.1%
44.0%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
EBITDA
23,135
22,530
23,715
24,866
26,652
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(2,570)
(1,898)
(1,808)
(1,959)
(3,856)
EBIT
20,565
20,632
21,906
22,907
22,797
Pro forma Taxes
(2,468)
(2,476)
(2,629)
(2,749)
(2,736)
NOPAT
14,362
18,097
18,156
19,278
20,158
20,061
Capital Expenditures
(1,366)
(1,480)
(1,458)
(1,579)
(1,630)
(1,567)
NWC Investment
395
129
99
82
157
226
(+) D&A
4,342
2,570
1,898
1,808
1,959
3,856
Free Cash Flow
17,733
19,317
18,697
19,590
20,644
22,576
% Growth
9%
-3%
5%
5%
9%
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