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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6.2x - 6.9x | 6.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.6x - 5.1x | 4.9x |
| Fair Value | €14.40 - €17.05 | €15.73 |
| Upside | 25.2% - 48.2% | 36.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Stabilus SE | STM | XTRA:STM |
| Dürr Aktiengesellschaft | DUE | XTRA:DUE |
| DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft | DEZ | XTRA:DEZ |
| Jungheinrich Aktiengesellschaft | JUN3 | XTRA:JUN3 |
| technotrans SE | TTR1 | XTRA:TTR1 |
| NORMA Group SE | NOEJ | DB:NOEJ |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| STM | DUE | DEZ | JUN3 | TTR1 | NOEJ | ||
| XTRA:STM | XTRA:DUE | XTRA:DEZ | XTRA:JUN3 | XTRA:TTR1 | DB:NOEJ | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.3% | -1.3% | -6.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | -6.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 5.8% | 2.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% | -3.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -7.0% | 17.0% | -59.5% | -0.6% | -13.3% | -2.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 16.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 12.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 17.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 11.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.00x | 0.43x | 0.61x | 1.03x | 0.59x | 0.61x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 7.0x | 15.7x | 10.8x | 8.8x | 5.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.7x | 12.1x | 208.0x | 13.3x | 11.6x | 12.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.7x | 8.8x | 15.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.2x | 7.2x | 12.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 6.5x | 6.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 136 | 136 | 136 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 841 | 886 | 930 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (341) | (341) | (341) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 500 | 544 | 588 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.9 | 31.9 | 31.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 15.69 | 17.08 | 18.47 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.69 | 17.08 | 18.47 | 11.50 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 36.4% | 48.5% | 60.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | STM | DUE | DEZ | JUN3 | TTR1 | NOEJ | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,312 | 1,810 | 1,190 | 5,585 | 146 | 708 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 97 | 965 | 86 | 703 | 19 | 127 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 6 | 29 | 45 | 79 | 0 | 4 | |
| (-) Debt | (771) | (1,325) | (296) | (3,014) | (37) | (472) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (31) | (5) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 613 | 1,474 | 1,025 | 3,354 | 127 | 366 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 24.7 | 69.2 | 138.8 | 102.0 | 6.9 | 31.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 24.80 | 21.30 | 7.39 | 32.88 | 18.40 | 11.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 24.80 | 21.30 | 7.39 | 32.88 | 18.40 | 11.50 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |