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SBFF.F 16.9%HNTI.F -15.4%ACGY.F -7.8%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

NOV Inc.

DB:NO8

美國 / 能源 / 能源設備和服務

10 年 DCF 收入退出價

股價

10.63 EUR

公允價值

17.93 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	11.3% - 10.3%	10.8%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	1.2x - 1.3x	1.2x
Fair Value	€16.83 - €19.10	€17.93
Upside	58.2% - 79.6%	68.6%

0.8%

Revenue 10y CAGR

13.0%

10y Avg EBITDA Margin

0.7%

Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR

10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

股價

10.63 EUR

公允價值

17.93 EUR

看漲

68.6%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(USD in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Dec-32	Dec-33	Dec-34

Revenue	8,870	8,792	9,000	9,257	9,521	9,640	9,640	9,640	9,640	9,640	9,640
% Growth	3.3%	-0.9%	2.4%	2.9%	2.9%	1.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

EBITDA	1,330	1,136	1,199	1,276	1,322	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216
% of Revenue	15.0%	12.9%	13.3%	13.8%	13.9%	12.6%	12.6%	12.6%	12.6%	12.6%	12.6%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Dec-32	Dec-33	Dec-34

EBITDA		1,136	1,199	1,276	1,322	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216	1,216
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(356)	(344)	(357)	(305)	(456)	(456)	(456)	(456)	(456)	(456)

EBIT		780	855	920	1,017	760	760	760	760	760	760
Pro forma Taxes		(172)	(188)	(202)	(224)	(167)	(167)	(167)	(167)	(167)	(167)
NOPAT	770	608	667	717	793	593	593	593	593	593	593

Capital Expenditures	(351)	(350)	(343)	(336)	(340)	(326)	(326)	(326)	(326)	(326)	(326)
NWC Investment	(90)	24	(65)	(80)	(83)	(37)	0	0	0	0	0
(+) D&A	343	356	344	357	305	456	456	456	456	456	456

Free Cash Flow	672	639	603	658	676	686	723	723	723	723	723
% Growth			-6%	9%	3%	2%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%

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