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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 11.0x - 12.1x | 11.6x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.1x - 10.0x | 9.5x |
Fair Value | €18.70 - €20.88 | €19.79 |
Upside | 12.5% - 25.6% | 19.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Sanyo Denki Co., Ltd. | 6516 | TSE:6516 |
ABB Ltd | ABLZ.F | OTCPK:ABLZ.F |
MINEBEA MITSUMI Inc. | 6479 | TSE:6479 |
Rockwell Automation, Inc. | ROK | NYSE:ROK |
Allient Inc. | ALNT | NasdaqGM:ALNT |
Nidec Corporation | NIB | DB:NIB |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
6516 | ABLZ.F | 6479 | ROK | ALNT | NIB | ||
TSE:6516 | OTCPK:ABLZ.F | TSE:6479 | NYSE:ROK | NasdaqGM:ALNT | DB:NIB | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 17.4% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 15.3% | |
3Y CAGR | -5.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -8.5% | 16.6% | 8.5% | -8.2% | -6.9% | 26.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 14.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 15.6% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.1% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 10.6% | 14.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 14.1% | 20.0% | NA | 20.1% | 11.5% | 14.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.76x | 3.77x | 0.85x | 5.09x | 1.71x | 1.43x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 18.8x | 8.2x | 25.3x | 14.8x | 9.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 21.2x | 14.2x | 31.3x | 26.0x | 15.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 14.8x | 25.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.7x | 16.6x | 38.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.0x | 11.6x | 12.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 379,234 | 379,234 | 379,234 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,167,999 | 4,387,368 | 4,606,736 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (389,807) | (389,807) | (389,807) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,778,192 | 3,997,561 | 4,216,929 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,146.3 | 1,146.3 | 1,146.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3,295.97 | 3,487.34 | 3,678.71 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 172.0 | 172.0 | 172.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.16 | 20.27 | 21.38 | 16.63 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 15.2% | 21.9% | 28.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 6516 | ABLZ.F | 6479 | ROK | ALNT | NIB | |
Enterprise Value | 75,152 | 127,748 | 1,308,373 | 40,831 | 887 | 3,668,255 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 29,530 | 5,112 | 255,804 | 495 | 50 | 246,239 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 19,297 | 394 | 0 | 181 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (6,739) | (9,838) | (515,489) | (3,875) | (227) | (636,046) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (525) | (10,791) | (165) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 117,240 | 122,891 | 1,037,897 | 37,467 | 712 | 3,278,448 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.8 | 1,823.3 | 401.6 | 112.4 | 16.9 | 1,146.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 9,910.00 | 67.40 | 2,584.50 | 333.23 | 42.00 | 2,860.01 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.03 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9,910.00 | 67.40 | 2,584.50 | 333.23 | 42.00 | 16.63 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | USD | JPY | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.03 |