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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.7x - 4.1x | 3.9x |
| Fair Value | €24.76 - €26.91 | €25.84 |
| Upside | -14.0% - -6.5% | -10.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Standard Motor Products, Inc. | SMP | NYSE:SMP |
| Continental Aktiengesellschaft | CTTA.F | OTCPK:CTTA.F |
| Mitsuchi Corporation | 3439 | TSE:3439 |
| Sanoh Industrial Co., Ltd. | 6584 | TSE:6584 |
| Kanemitsu Corporation | 7208 | TSE:7208 |
| Niterra Co., Ltd. | NGK | DB:NGK |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SMP | CTTA.F | 3439 | 6584 | 7208 | NGK | ||
| NYSE:SMP | OTCPK:CTTA.F | TSE:3439 | TSE:6584 | TSE:7208 | DB:NGK | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.0% | -5.4% | -1.1% | 12.0% | -3.1% | 12.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 17.2% | 56.1% | 21.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.3% | 6.1% | 14.7% | -3.6% | -13.2% | 20.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 21.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 22.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 23.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 25.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.79x | 0.44x | 0.11x | 0.23x | 0.06x | 1.24x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 4.3x | 1.3x | 2.9x | 0.5x | 4.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 7.7x | 3.7x | 5.9x | 1.2x | 6.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.5x | 2.9x | 6.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 4.0x | 6.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.2x | 4.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 161,442 | 161,442 | 161,442 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 649,783 | 683,982 | 718,181 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 138,590 | 138,590 | 138,590 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 788,373 | 822,572 | 856,771 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 198.4 | 198.4 | 198.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,972.90 | 4,145.24 | 4,317.58 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 161.5 | 161.5 | 161.5 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.60 | 25.66 | 26.73 | 28.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.6% | -10.9% | -7.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SMP | CTTA.F | 3439 | 6584 | 7208 | NGK | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,166 | 17,609 | 1,390 | 35,521 | 638 | 784,521 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 44 | 2,966 | 4,572 | 16,456 | 3,782 | 182,221 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 29 | 434 | 614 | 8,640 | 1,347 | 113,312 | |
| (-) Debt | (681) | (6,909) | (3,336) | (33,501) | (1,303) | (156,462) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (14) | (447) | 0 | (3,492) | (189) | (481) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 545 | 13,653 | 3,240 | 23,624 | 4,275 | 923,111 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 21.9 | 200.0 | 5.1 | 35.8 | 5.1 | 198.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 24.92 | 68.27 | 640.00 | 660.00 | 836.00 | 4,651.89 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 161.52 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 24.92 | 73.84 | 640.00 | 660.00 | 836.00 | 28.80 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 161.52 | |