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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 8.8x - 9.7x | 9.3x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 14.7x - 16.2x | 15.4x |
| Fair Value | €108.78 - €120.23 | €114.50 |
| Upside | 14.0% - 26.0% | 20.0% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Vale S.A. | - | DB:CVLC |
| Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. | - | DB:4GE |
| Zijin Mining Group Company Limited | - | DB:FJZ |
| BHP Group Limited | - | DB:BHP1 |
| Elvalhalcor Hellenic Copper and Aluminium Industry S.A. | - | DB:HC6A |
| Aurubis AG | - | DB:NDA |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CVLC | 4GE | FJZ | BHP1 | HC6A | NDA | |||
| DB:CVLC | DB:4GE | DB:FJZ | DB:BHP1 | DB:HC6A | DB:NDA | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 51.5% | 10.3% | 49.5% | -1.8% | 20.1% | 16.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -38.2% | -2.9% | 27.6% | -11.8% | -2.6% | -12.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -40.6% | 11.6% | 63.9% | 54.1% | 458.1% | 64.8% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.7% | 28.2% | 8.8% | 27.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.2% | 23.5% | 7.2% | 23.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.3% | 22.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.8% | 23.7% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 7.0x | 10.9x | 5.9x | 6.4x | 4.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.1x | 3.2x | 1.9x | 2.6x | 0.3x | 0.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 7.9x | 13.6x | 15.9x | 12.2x | 7.6x | 6.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 7.6x | 12.2x | 15.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 3.3x | 7.7x | 16.1x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 8.8x | 9.3x | 9.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 616 | 616 | 616 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,419 | 5,704 | 5,989 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 43.7 | 43.7 | 43.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 124.11 | 130.64 | 137.18 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 124.11 | 130.64 | 137.18 | 95.45 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 30.0% | 36.9% | 43.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CVLC | 4GE | FJZ | BHP1 | HC6A | NDA | |
| Value of Common Equity | 240,504 | 52,289 | 582,873 | 137,799 | 962 | 4,167 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,268.8 | 7,785.0 | 26,473.3 | 5,076.0 | 375.2 | 43.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 56.34 | 6.72 | 22.02 | 27.15 | 2.57 | 95.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 6.32 | 1.17 | 8.40 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.92 | 5.74 | 2.62 | 23.20 | 2.57 | 95.45 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 6.32 | 1.17 | 8.40 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |