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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.8x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.2x - 1.3x | 1.3x |
Fair Value | €27.49 - €30.39 | €28.94 |
Upside | -21.9% - -13.7% | -17.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Sealed Air Corporation | - | NYSE:SEE |
International Paper Company | - | NYSE:IP |
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | - | NYSE:AMBP |
Packaging Corporation of America | - | NYSE:PKG |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | - | NYSE:GPK |
Smurfit Westrock Plc | - | DB:N4U |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SEE | IP | AMBP | PKG | GPK | N4U | |||
NYSE:SEE | NYSE:IP | NYSE:AMBP | NYSE:PKG | NYSE:GPK | DB:N4U | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.4% | 0.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 15.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | -0.9% | -1.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 20.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.8% | -1.6% | 2.0% | 7.4% | -6.6% | 74.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 1.6% | -1.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 3.0% | -0.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.0% | 3.0% | -0.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 1.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 14.3x | 8.5x | 11.1x | 7.5x | 12.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 1.3x | 0.3x | 2.0x | 0.8x | 1.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 14.3x | 43.9x | -59.8x | 20.9x | 11.2x | 67.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.8x | 2.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.2x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.8x | 0.8x | 0.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 21,109 | 21,109 | 21,109 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 15,955 | 16,795 | 17,634 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 519.9 | 519.9 | 519.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 30.69 | 32.30 | 33.92 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 26.93 | 28.35 | 29.76 | 35.20 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -23.5% | -19.5% | -15.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SEE | IP | AMBP | PKG | GPK | N4U | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,848 | 24,430 | 1,614 | 16,715 | 7,355 | 20,855 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 145.8 | 527.9 | 597.7 | 89.3 | 300.2 | 519.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 26.40 | 46.28 | 2.70 | 187.19 | 24.50 | 40.11 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 26.40 | 46.28 | 2.70 | 187.19 | 24.50 | 35.20 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 |