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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.8x - 16.4x | 15.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
| Fair Value | €77.40 - €92.92 | €85.16 |
| Upside | 3.2% - 23.9% | 13.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| SIG Group AG | SIGN | SWX:SIGN |
| Huhtamäki Oyj | HUH1V | HLSE:HUH1V |
| Packaging Corporation of America | PKA | DB:PKA |
| Orora Limited | OORD | DB:OORD |
| Sealed Air Corporation | SDA | DB:SDA |
| Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG | MYM | DB:MYM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SIGN | HUH1V | PKA | OORD | SDA | MYM | ||
| SWX:SIGN | HLSE:HUH1V | DB:PKA | DB:OORD | DB:SDA | DB:MYM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 13.8% | 3.2% | -6.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.0% | 6.4% | -3.9% | 17.5% | -2.8% | -5.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.9% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 36.8% | -6.2% | 33.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.1% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 16.0% | 7.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 4.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.50x | 1.15x | 2.39x | 0.59x | 1.65x | 0.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.1x | 8.6x | 11.6x | 5.8x | 8.5x | 6.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 22.1x | 12.9x | 16.5x | 8.7x | 11.0x | 14.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 12.9x | 22.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 17.1x | 22.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | 15.6x | 16.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 192 | 192 | 192 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,850 | 3,000 | 3,150 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,376) | (1,376) | (1,376) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,474 | 1,624 | 1,774 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 75.01 | 82.64 | 90.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 75.01 | 82.64 | 90.28 | 75.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.0% | 10.2% | 20.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SIGN | HUH1V | PKA | OORD | SDA | MYM | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,260 | 4,689 | 20,230 | 2,950 | 8,712 | 2,850 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 303 | 277 | 843 | 255 | 335 | 265 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 3 | 71 | 0 | 14 | 8 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,471) | (1,560) | (2,803) | (551) | (4,503) | (1,642) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (87) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,093 | 3,323 | 18,342 | 2,654 | 4,558 | 1,474 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 382.2 | 105.0 | 89.3 | 1,280.8 | 147.1 | 19.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.94 | 31.66 | 205.30 | 2.07 | 31.00 | 75.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.79 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.90 | 31.66 | 174.85 | 1.16 | 26.40 | 75.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CHF | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.79 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |