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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | €41.14 - €45.69 | €43.41 |
Upside | 31.8% - 46.5% | 39.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. | TUSK | NasdaqGS:TUSK |
ProPetro Holding Corp. | PUMP | NYSE:PUMP |
Nine Energy Service, Inc. | NINE | NYSE:NINE |
Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. | FET | NYSE:FET |
Oil States International, Inc. | OIS | NYSE:OIS |
NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. | MUH0 | DB:MUH0 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TUSK | PUMP | NINE | FET | OIS | MUH0 | |||
NasdaqGS:TUSK | NYSE:PUMP | NYSE:NINE | NYSE:FET | NYSE:OIS | DB:MUH0 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -21.4% | -6.8% | -7.8% | -3.1% | -7.4% | -4.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | -6.4% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 11.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -39.3% | -11.4% | -9.1% | 10.5% | -11.5% | 14.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -29.3% | 5.9% | -6.8% | -7.9% | -4.2% | -4.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -6.8% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | -2.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -23.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -23.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.30x | 0.62x | 0.68x | 0.56x | 0.59x | 0.63x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -1.3x | 15.9x | 40.3x | 12.8x | 54.4x | 23.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.51x | 0.54x | 0.08x | 0.28x | 0.46x | 0.60x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.30x | 0.59x | 0.68x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.44x | 0.57x | 0.75x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.75x | 0.79x | 0.83x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 163 | 163 | 163 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 122 | 129 | 135 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6) | (6) | (6) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 116 | 123 | 129 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 45.77 | 48.31 | 50.84 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 41.40 | 43.70 | 45.99 | 31.20 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 32.7% | 40.1% | 47.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TUSK | PUMP | NINE | FET | OIS | MUH0 | |
Enterprise Value | 61 | 900 | 380 | 482 | 407 | 94 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 61 | 58 | 28 | 45 | 65 | 26 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (26) | (175) | (359) | (273) | (151) | (15) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (17) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 100 | 783 | 49 | 254 | 322 | 88 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 48.1 | 103.2 | 42.3 | 12.3 | 61.8 | 2.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.08 | 7.59 | 1.16 | 20.57 | 5.21 | 34.49 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.08 | 7.59 | 1.16 | 20.57 | 5.21 | 31.20 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 |