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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.2x - 19.0x | 18.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.8x - 16.3x | 15.5x |
| Fair Value | €11.53 - €13.72 | €12.63 |
| Upside | -22.1% - -7.3% | -14.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Star Group, L.P. | SGU | NYSE:SGU |
| Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. | SPH | NYSE:SPH |
| Superior Plus Corp. | SUUI.F | PINC:SUUI.F |
| Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. | FGPR | PINC:FGPR |
| GAIL (India) Limited | GAIL.F | PINC:GAIL.F |
| MDU Resources Group, Inc. | MRE | DB:MRE |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SGU | SPH | SUUI.F | FGPR | GAIL.F | MRE | ||
| NYSE:SGU | NYSE:SPH | PINC:SUUI.F | PINC:FGPR | PINC:GAIL.F | DB:MRE | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.9% | 2.6% | -4.1% | 10.9% | 5.7% | -10.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -23.7% | -7.0% | 22.3% | -1.6% | 27.9% | -7.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 51.5% | -8.1% | -1.7% | -60.0% | 46.1% | 17.0% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.7% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 12.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.2% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 15.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 15.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 2.05x | 1.39x | 1.11x | 1.02x | 3.20x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 10.9x | 7.8x | 11.2x | 9.3x | 12.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 15.0x | 16.8x | 23.5x | 11.9x | 20.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | 15.0x | 23.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 14.1x | 15.1x | 25.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.2x | 18.1x | 19.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 270 | 270 | 270 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,647 | 4,892 | 5,137 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,148) | (2,148) | (2,148) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,500 | 2,744 | 2,989 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 204.3 | 204.3 | 204.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.23 | 13.43 | 14.63 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.76 | 11.82 | 12.87 | 14.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -27.3% | -20.2% | -13.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SGU | SPH | SUUI.F | FGPR | GAIL.F | MRE | |
| Enterprise Value | 679 | 2,744 | 3,232 | 2,089 | 1,290,774 | 5,585 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 49 | 4 | 42 | 39 | 31,993 | 50 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | |
| (-) Debt | (307) | (1,441) | (1,869) | (2,156) | (196,318) | (2,314) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 6 | 0 | (260) | 79 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 426 | 1,307 | 1,145 | 52 | 1,126,449 | 3,437 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.6 | 64.5 | 230.4 | 4.9 | 1,234.5 | 204.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12.32 | 20.27 | 4.97 | 10.70 | 912.50 | 16.82 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 84.49 | 1.14 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.32 | 20.27 | 4.97 | 10.70 | 10.80 | 14.80 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 84.49 | 1.14 | |