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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6.9x - 7.6x | 7.2x |
Fair Value | €1.55 - €1.76 | €1.65 |
Upside | 27.0% - 44.0% | 35.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Höegh Autoliners ASA | HAUTO | OB:HAUTO |
Wilh. Wilhelmsen Holding ASA | WWIB | OB:WWIB |
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA | WAWI | OB:WAWI |
Klaveness Combination Carriers ASA | KCC | OB:KCC |
Odfjell SE | ODF | OB:ODF |
MPC Container Ships ASA | MP2 | DB:MP2 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HAUTO | WWIB | WAWI | KCC | ODF | MP2 | ||
OB:HAUTO | OB:WWIB | OB:WAWI | OB:KCC | OB:ODF | DB:MP2 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 75.1% | 7.1% | 29.2% | 52.1% | 53.9% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 101.7% | 9.4% | 51.9% | 46.0% | 78.8% | 20.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | -7.6% | 21.3% | -34.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 25.8% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 15.2% | 31.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 40.8% | 8.7% | 23.9% | 35.9% | 23.8% | 55.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 40.9% | 8.2% | 24.3% | 34.2% | 27.6% | 47.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 40.9% | 8.2% | 24.3% | 34.2% | 27.6% | 47.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.45x | 1.70x | 0.89x | 1.79x | 1.20x | 1.61x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 14.8x | 2.9x | 4.0x | 3.4x | 2.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 3.5x | 20.8x | 3.7x | 5.2x | 4.4x | 3.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.5x | 4.4x | 20.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -16.3x | 2.5x | 21.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 4.0x | 4.2x | 4.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 257 | 257 | 257 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,026 | 1,080 | 1,134 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (216) | (216) | (216) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 810 | 864 | 918 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 443.7 | 443.7 | 443.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.83 | 1.95 | 2.07 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.61 | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.22 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 31.7% | 40.5% | 49.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HAUTO | WWIB | WAWI | KCC | ODF | MP2 | |
Enterprise Value | 1,924 | (163) | 4,603 | 494 | 1,485 | 831 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 208 | 155 | 1,393 | 58 | 147 | 127 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 6 | 2,045 | 77 | 4 | 172 | 5 | |
(-) Debt | (789) | (454) | (3,151) | (224) | (1,110) | (343) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (115) | (9) | 0 | 0 | (5) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,349 | 1,468 | 2,913 | 333 | 694 | 615 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 190.8 | 42.9 | 422.7 | 59.3 | 79.1 | 443.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.07 | 34.22 | 6.89 | 5.61 | 8.77 | 1.39 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.14 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 74.73 | 361.50 | 72.80 | 59.30 | 92.70 | 1.22 | |
Trading Currency | NOK | NOK | NOK | NOK | NOK | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.14 |