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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 11.0x - 12.2x | 11.6x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 8.7x - 9.6x | 9.1x |
Fair Value | €41.01 - €45.33 | €43.17 |
Upside | 13.7% - 25.7% | 19.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Linamar Corporation | - | TSX:LNR |
Martinrea International Inc. | - | TSX:MRE |
Dana Incorporated | - | NYSE:DAN |
BorgWarner Inc. | - | BMV:BWA* |
Lear Corporation | - | BMV:LEA* |
Magna International Inc. | - | DB:MGA |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
LNR | MRE | DAN | BWA * | LEA * | MGA | |||
TSX:LNR | TSX:MRE | NYSE:DAN | BMV:BWA* | BMV:LEA* | DB:MGA | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -9.7% | NM- | NM- | -13.2% | -8.5% | -10.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | -15.0% | NM- | NM- | 2.3% | 10.7% | -12.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -54.4% | -140.7% | -369.2% | -71.2% | -13.5% | 22.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.1% | 1.4% | -0.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.4% | -0.7% | -0.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.5% | -1.2% | -0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.5x | 3.2x | 7.2x | 5.2x | 4.7x | 4.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 0.1x | 0.3x | 0.6x | 0.2x | 0.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 16.0x | -9.7x | -72.5x | 37.3x | 10.7x | 9.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -72.5x | 10.7x | 37.3x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 11.1x | 16.3x | 46.2x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 11.0x | 11.6x | 12.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 1,212 | 1,212 | 1,212 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 13,388 | 14,093 | 14,798 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 281.8 | 281.8 | 281.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 47.51 | 50.01 | 52.52 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 40.81 | 42.96 | 45.11 | 36.06 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.2% | 19.1% | 25.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | LNR | MRE | DAN | BWA * | LEA * | MGA | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,129 | 592 | 2,406 | 7,221 | 5,607 | 11,830 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 59.9 | 71.1 | 145.7 | 192.3 | 53.2 | 281.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 68.94 | 8.32 | 16.51 | 37.56 | 105.38 | 41.98 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 68.94 | 8.32 | 16.51 | 700.00 | 1,964.00 | 36.06 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | USD | MXN | MXN | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.16 |