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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | €0.30 - €0.33 | €0.32 |
| Upside | -2.2% - 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Oji Holdings Corporation | 386,100.0% | TSE:3861 |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited | 268,900.0% | SEHK:2689 |
| Greenheart Group Limited | 9,400.0% | SEHK:94 |
| Packaging Corporation of America | - | NYSE:PKG |
| International Paper Company | - | NYSE:IP |
| Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Limited | - | DB:LMP |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 3861 | 2689 | 94 | PKG | IP | LMP | |||
| TSE:3861 | SEHK:2689 | SEHK:94 | NYSE:PKG | NYSE:IP | DB:LMP | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.2% | 1.7% | -32.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% | -0.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | -1.1% | -45.5% | 2.7% | -1.3% | -7.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 11.0% | -43.0% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 4.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.9% | 4.3% | -98.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.0% | -4.2% | -102.3% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.5% | 1.3% | -268.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.5% | 1.5% | -268.4% | 10.4% | -0.1% | 5.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.2x | 11.9x | -0.1x | 10.4x | 12.6x | 23.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 0.4x | 2.0x | 2.0x | 1.1x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 29.7x | 23.8x | -0.7x | 19.1x | -905.8x | 9.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 1.1x | 2.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.5x | 1.1x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 25,995 | 25,995 | 25,995 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,838 | 14,566 | 15,294 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,909.3 | 4,909.3 | 4,909.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.82 | 2.97 | 3.12 | |||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 9.2 | 9.2 | 9.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.31 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.5% | 5.8% | 11.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3861 | 2689 | 94 | PKG | IP | LMP | |
| Value of Common Equity | 697,026 | 22,102 | 102 | 17,174 | 24,458 | 13,764 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 917.4 | 4,692.2 | 1,855.0 | 89.3 | 527.9 | 4,909.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 759.80 | 4.71 | 0.06 | 192.22 | 46.33 | 2.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.16 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 759.80 | 5.15 | 0.06 | 192.22 | 46.33 | 0.31 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | HKD | HKD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.16 | |