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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.9x - 19.7x | 18.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.9x - 12.1x | 11.5x |
| Fair Value | €16.73 - €23.44 | €20.09 |
| Upside | -37.3% - -12.2% | -24.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Carbios SAS | ALCRB | ENXTPA:ALCRB |
| Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. | RYQ | DB:RYQ |
| ALPEK, S.A.B. de C.V. | 27A | DB:27A |
| DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | DDPN | WBAG:DDPN |
| Eastman Chemical Company | EAC | DB:EAC |
| Lenzing Aktiengesellschaft | LEN | DB:LEN |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ALCRB | RYQ | 27A | DDPN | EAC | LEN | ||
| ENXTPA:ALCRB | DB:RYQ | DB:27A | WBAG:DDPN | DB:EAC | DB:LEN | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -5.5% | -1.7% | 2.1% | -20.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -29.6% | -0.5% | -9.5% | -36.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -29.9% | -49.0% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 2462.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -26241.9% | 1.2% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 2.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -120362.5% | 0.4% | 3.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | -3.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -27586.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 1.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -27586.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 5.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 693.84x | 0.70x | 0.42x | 2.84x | 1.35x | 1.06x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.1x | 7.0x | 6.5x | 11.1x | 6.8x | 6.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -2.5x | 44.1x | 11.7x | 17.6x | 9.4x | 20.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -2.5x | 11.7x | 44.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -113.2x | 19.9x | 135.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.9x | 18.8x | 19.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 140 | 140 | 140 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,498 | 2,630 | 2,761 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,816) | (1,816) | (1,816) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 682 | 814 | 945 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 38.6 | 38.6 | 38.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 17.67 | 21.07 | 24.48 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.67 | 21.07 | 24.48 | 26.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -33.8% | -21.1% | -8.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALCRB | RYQ | 27A | DDPN | EAC | LEN | |
| Enterprise Value | 94 | 1,045 | 58,751 | 35,881 | 12,633 | 2,847 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 90 | 71 | 8,199 | 1,837 | 423 | 762 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 22 | 0 | 63 | 1,112 | 0 | 87 | |
| (-) Debt | (46) | (775) | (44,054) | (7,682) | (5,351) | (2,323) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (13) | (4,992) | (452) | (71) | (341) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 160 | 328 | 17,966 | 30,696 | 7,634 | 1,031 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 16.8 | 67.0 | 2,100.7 | 418.7 | 114.8 | 38.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.53 | 4.89 | 8.55 | 73.31 | 66.51 | 26.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 21.93 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.53 | 4.18 | 0.39 | 62.65 | 56.84 | 26.70 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 21.93 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |