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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.9x - 4.3x | 4.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.0x - 2.2x | 2.1x |
| Fair Value | €4.40 - €4.86 | €4.63 |
| Upside | 40.9% - 55.7% | 48.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Hydrogène de France Société anonyme | HDF | ENXTPA:HDF |
| Voltalia SA | VLTSA | ENXTPA:VLTSA |
| Intexa SA | ITXT | ENXTPA:ITXT |
| Uniper SE | 1UN | BIT:1UN |
| Ecosuntek S.p.A. | ECK | BIT:ECK |
| Charwood Energy SA | L5Q | DB:L5Q |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| HDF | VLTSA | ITXT | 1UN | ECK | L5Q | |||
| ENXTPA:HDF | ENXTPA:VLTSA | ENXTPA:ITXT | BIT:1UN | BIT:ECK | DB:L5Q | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 30.9% | 25.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 48.8% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 132.5% | 15.1% | 2.0% | -24.7% | 77.2% | 34.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 182.7% | 10.4% | -5.4% | -27.4% | -37.3% | 10.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -210.5% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | -31.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -234.0% | 24.2% | 38.7% | 7.6% | 1.6% | -38.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -145.2% | 12.8% | -211.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | -57.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -145.2% | 12.8% | -211.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | -57.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.96x | 5.58x | 8.06x | 0.16x | 0.11x | 3.07x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -2.0x | 43.7x | -3.8x | 4.8x | 4.9x | -5.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.58x | 1.82x | 9.36x | 0.24x | 0.06x | 2.93x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.11x | 2.96x | 8.06x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.07x | 3.43x | 3.79x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.86x | 4.07x | 4.27x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22 | 23 | 24 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 22 | 23 | 24 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.22 | 4.44 | 4.66 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.22 | 4.44 | 4.66 | 3.12 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 35.2% | 42.3% | 49.5% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | HDF | VLTSA | ITXT | 1UN | ECK | L5Q | |
| Enterprise Value | 33 | 3,023 | 2 | 11,282 | 60 | 16 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 39 | 375 | 0 | 5,916 | 62 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 27 | 0 | 985 | 1 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (0) | (2,322) | (0) | (2,083) | (82) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (106) | 0 | (149) | (10) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 73 | 996 | 3 | 15,951 | 31 | 16 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.7 | 130.9 | 1.0 | 416.5 | 1.7 | 5.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.99 | 7.61 | 2.60 | 38.30 | 18.00 | 3.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.99 | 7.61 | 2.60 | 38.30 | 18.00 | 3.12 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |