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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 4.5x - 5.0x | 4.8x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.7x - 4.0x | 3.9x |
Fair Value | €106.61 - €117.83 | €112.22 |
Upside | -18.3% - -9.7% | -14.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:KTOS |
AAR Corp. | - | NYSE:AIR |
The Boeing Company | - | NYSE:BA |
Astronics Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:ATRO |
CPI Aerostructures, Inc. | - | NYSEAM:CVU |
AeroVironment, Inc. | - | DB:JPX |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
KTOS | AIR | BA | ATRO | CVU | JPX | |||
NasdaqGS:KTOS | NYSE:AIR | NYSE:BA | NasdaqGS:ATRO | NYSEAM:CVU | DB:JPX | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 2.5% | -2.8% | 0.6% | -1.5% | 17.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 11.9% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 21.4% | -7.8% | 22.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | 21.1% | -14.5% | 15.4% | -6.2% | 5.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 1.6% | 2.5% | -9.3% | -8.4% | 6.3% | -1.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -0.9% | 4.5% | -2.9% | -3.8% | 19.9% | -32.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 2.0% | -17.9% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 8.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | -0.5% | -17.9% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 68.9x | 13.3x | -18.1x | 19.9x | 8.5x | 56.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 4.5x | 0.7x | 1.8x | 1.0x | 0.6x | 5.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 311.7x | -151.5x | -9.9x | -48.9x | 13.8x | 124.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 1.0x | 4.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 4.4x | 5.2x | 6.9x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 4.5x | 4.8x | 5.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 743 | 743 | 743 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,352 | 3,528 | 3,705 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 119.64 | 125.93 | 132.23 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 105.50 | 111.05 | 116.60 | 130.45 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.1% | -14.9% | -10.6% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | KTOS | AIR | BA | ATRO | CVU | JPX | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,080 | 1,894 | 118,008 | 793 | 46 | 4,145 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 152.8 | 35.5 | 752.4 | 35.3 | 13.0 | 28.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 33.24 | 53.39 | 156.84 | 22.48 | 3.51 | 147.94 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 33.24 | 53.39 | 156.84 | 22.48 | 3.51 | 130.45 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 |