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2SV
-12.8%
NMM
-12.0%
7S8
-11.8%
HK
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Hapag Lloyd AG
DB:HLAG
德國 / 工業 / 海運
貨幣
€
加入觀察名單
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
130.00
EUR
公允價值
177.68
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.3% - 9.3%
9.8%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
0.0% - 1.0%
0.5%
Fair Value
€164.51 - €193.87
€177.68
Upside
16.4% - 37.2%
25.7%
2.8%
Revenue 10y CAGR
19.6%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
13.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
分享
儲存
股價
130.00
EUR
公允價值
177.68
EUR
看漲
25.7%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(EUR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
19,112
17,856
17,267
18,208
20,610
22,432
23,217
23,681
24,155
24,638
25,131
% Growth
6.6%
-6.6%
-3.3%
5.5%
13.2%
8.8%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
3,507
2,896
3,344
2,774
4,278
4,656
4,819
4,915
5,014
5,114
5,216
% of Revenue
18.3%
16.2%
19.4%
15.2%
20.8%
20.8%
20.8%
20.8%
20.8%
20.8%
20.8%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
2,896
3,344
2,774
4,278
4,656
4,819
4,915
5,014
5,114
5,216
5,216
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(1,838)
(1,983)
(1,206)
(1,855)
(2,019)
(2,090)
(2,131)
(2,174)
(2,218)
(2,262)
(1,333)
EBIT
1,058
1,361
1,567
2,423
2,637
2,729
2,784
2,840
2,896
2,954
3,884
Pro forma Taxes
(169)
(218)
(251)
(388)
(422)
(437)
(445)
(454)
(463)
(473)
(621)
NOPAT
2,121
889
1,143
1,317
2,035
2,215
2,293
2,338
2,385
2,433
2,482
3,262
Capital Expenditures
(2,166)
(1,800)
(1,509)
(1,614)
(1,546)
(1,346)
(1,393)
(1,421)
(1,387)
(1,400)
(1,403)
(1,403)
NWC Investment
22
(23)
(11)
17
44
33
14
8
9
9
9
2
(+) D&A
982
1,838
1,983
1,206
1,855
2,019
2,090
2,131
2,174
2,218
2,262
1,333
Free Cash Flow
958
904
1,607
926
2,388
2,921
3,003
3,057
3,181
3,259
3,350
3,194
% Growth
-6%
78%
-42%
158%
22%
3%
2%
4%
2%
3%
-5%
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