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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.1x - 4.5x | 4.3x |
| Fair Value | €15.76 - €17.88 | €16.82 |
| Upside | -9.7% - 2.5% | -3.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Aumann AG | AAG | XTRA:AAG |
| Mühlbauer Holding AG | MUB | XTRA:MUB |
| DMG MORI AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | GIL | XTRA:GIL |
| Alexanderwerk Aktiengesellschaft | ALXA | DB:ALXA |
| Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle AG | MBH3 | DB:MBH3 |
| Gesco SE | GSC1 | DB:GSC1 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| AAG | MUB | GIL | ALXA | MBH3 | GSC1 | ||
| XTRA:AAG | XTRA:MUB | XTRA:GIL | DB:ALXA | DB:MBH3 | DB:GSC1 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.3% | -6.4% | 2.3% | 12.1% | -4.6% | -11.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -19.8% | 22.7% | 0.0% | 5.7% | -21.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.2% | -33.4% | -25.8% | -39.0% | -36.6% | -18.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.3% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 9.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.9% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 33.1% | 23.0% | 9.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 5.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 5.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.18x | 1.05x | 1.69x | 1.54x | 1.41x | 0.47x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.8x | 11.3x | 15.2x | 7.7x | 9.3x | 8.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 2.0x | 35.6x | 20.0x | 8.5x | 11.6x | 18.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.8x | 9.3x | 15.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 5.6x | 10.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 7.5x | 7.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 29 | 29 | 29 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 211 | 222 | 233 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (46) | (46) | (46) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 165 | 176 | 187 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 15.94 | 17.01 | 18.08 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.94 | 17.01 | 18.08 | 17.45 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -8.7% | -2.5% | 3.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AAG | MUB | GIL | ALXA | MBH3 | GSC1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 53 | 532 | 3,531 | 56 | 660 | 226 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 111 | 84 | 61 | 5 | 140 | 43 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (6) | 0 | (44) | (4) | 0 | (84) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (29) | 0 | 0 | (6) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 158 | 616 | 3,641 | 57 | 800 | 181 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.3 | 14.2 | 78.8 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 10.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.00 | 43.40 | 46.20 | 15.80 | 160.00 | 17.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.00 | 43.40 | 46.20 | 15.80 | 160.00 | 17.45 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |