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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.3x - 4.8x | 4.5x |
| Fair Value | €1.55 - €1.69 | €1.62 |
| Upside | 3.6% - 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Tamawood Limited | TWD | ASX:TWD |
| Shriro Holdings Limited | SHM | ASX:SHM |
| Breville Group Limited | BRG | ASX:BRG |
| Simonds Group Limited | SIO | ASX:SIO |
| Atomos Limited | AMS | ASX:AMS |
| Fleetwood Limited | FZS | DB:FZS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TWD | SHM | BRG | SIO | AMS | FZS | ||
| ASX:TWD | ASX:SHM | ASX:BRG | ASX:SIO | ASX:AMS | DB:FZS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.2% | -6.2% | 19.3% | -14.9% | NM- | -14.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.7% | -29.0% | 17.9% | NM- | NM- | -22.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | -32.3% | 12.8% | -24.8% | 10.2% | -3.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | -0.2% | -28.6% | 5.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 1.4% | -64.6% | 3.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 1.0% | -51.7% | 3.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 1.0% | -48.8% | 4.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.05x | 0.41x | 2.81x | 0.08x | 0.43x | 0.49x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.4x | 4.6x | 21.2x | 7.8x | -0.9x | 10.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 5.6x | 22.9x | 12.4x | -0.9x | 11.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.9x | 7.8x | 21.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 12.6x | 17.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.6x | 9.0x | 9.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 22 | 22 | 22 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 187 | 197 | 207 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 38 | 38 | 38 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 225 | 234 | 244 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 92.3 | 92.3 | 92.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.43 | 2.54 | 2.65 | ||||
| FX Rate: AUD/EUR | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.35 | 1.41 | 1.47 | 1.50 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.7% | -5.7% | -1.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TWD | SHM | BRG | SIO | AMS | FZS | |
| Enterprise Value | 105 | 45 | 4,992 | 54 | 16 | 211 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 58 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3) | (14) | (118) | (18) | (11) | (20) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 106 | 56 | 4,979 | 59 | 6 | 249 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 38.7 | 77.9 | 143.9 | 359.9 | 1,215.0 | 92.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.75 | 0.72 | 34.59 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 2.69 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.80 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.75 | 0.72 | 34.59 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 1.50 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.80 | |