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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 29.2x - 32.2x | 30.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 18.6x - 20.6x | 19.6x |
| Fair Value | €10.65 - €11.69 | €11.17 |
| Upside | 12.7% - 23.7% | 18.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| A.G. BARR p.l.c. | BAG | LSE:BAG |
| C&C Group plc | CCRL | BATS-CHIXE:CCRL |
| Suntory Beverage & Food Limited | 2587 | TSE:2587 |
| The Coca-Cola Company | 0QZK | LSE:0QZK |
| Reed's, Inc. | REED | PINC:REED |
| Fevertree Drinks PLC | FV8 | DB:FV8 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BAG | CCRL | 2587 | 0QZK | REED | FV8 | ||
| LSE:BAG | BATS-CHIXE:CCRL | TSE:2587 | LSE:0QZK | PINC:REED | DB:FV8 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.4% | -7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | NM- | -13.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 9.4% | NM- | 8.2% | 6.1% | NM- | -15.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.6% | -4.0% | 13.1% | 5.3% | -29.7% | 51.8% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.2% | 4.1% | 13.8% | 32.9% | -23.6% | 14.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.7% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 31.4% | -13.8% | 6.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.7% | 4.8% | 13.5% | 32.7% | -21.1% | 10.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.7% | 5.1% | 13.5% | 32.7% | -21.1% | 10.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.68x | 0.52x | 0.92x | 6.98x | 2.09x | 2.52x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.6x | 10.2x | 6.8x | 21.3x | -10.0x | 24.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.3x | 17.6x | 9.2x | 22.9x | -9.8x | 28.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -10.0x | 10.2x | 21.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.5x | 48.4x | 50.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 29.2x | 30.7x | 32.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 38 | 38 | 38 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,103 | 1,161 | 1,219 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 84 | 84 | 84 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,187 | 1,245 | 1,303 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 123.0 | 123.0 | 123.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.65 | 10.12 | 10.59 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 11.33 | 11.88 | 12.44 | 9.45 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 19.9% | 25.8% | 31.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BAG | CCRL | 2587 | 0QZK | REED | FV8 | |
| Enterprise Value | 705 | 851 | 1,546,865 | 326,443 | 80 | 906 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 64 | 143 | 165,051 | 13,787 | 10 | 96 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 14,775 | 18,833 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (5) | (347) | (85,271) | (49,971) | (10) | (12) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (105,690) | (1,552) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 764 | 648 | 1,535,730 | 307,540 | 80 | 990 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 111.2 | 377.1 | 309.0 | 4,304.3 | 45.4 | 123.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 6.87 | 1.72 | 4,970.00 | 71.45 | 1.75 | 8.05 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.87 | 1.46 | 4,970.00 | 71.45 | 1.75 | 9.45 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | JPY | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | |