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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -8.0x - -8.8x | -8.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.0x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
| Fair Value | €0.63 - €0.82 | €0.72 |
| Upside | -25.9% - -3.7% | -14.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Celanese Corporation | CE | NYSE:CE |
| Koppers Holdings Inc. | KOP | NYSE:KOP |
| Nutrien Ltd. | NTR | NYSE:NTR |
| Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. | AXTA | NYSE:AXTA |
| Crown Electrokinetics Corp. | CRKN | OTCPK:CRKN |
| Alto Ingredients, Inc. | FPR | DB:FPR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CE | KOP | NTR | AXTA | CRKN | FPR | ||
| NYSE:CE | NYSE:KOP | NYSE:NTR | NYSE:AXTA | OTCPK:CRKN | DB:FPR | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -19.0% | 12.2% | -18.8% | 14.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.7% | 7.1% | -10.4% | 7.7% | -66.3% | -50.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.7% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 12.0% | -12852.1% | -0.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | -12195.4% | -1.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | -122.5% | -2.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 15.1% | -139.1% | -2.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.65x | 0.82x | 1.69x | 1.73x | -0.80x | 0.19x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.5x | 6.6x | 9.5x | 8.9x | 0.6x | 33.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.9x | 8.8x | 16.9x | 11.5x | 0.6x | -9.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 0.6x | 11.5x | 16.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -9.1x | 32.4x | 100.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -8.0x | -8.4x | -8.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (19) | (19) | (19) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 154 | 162 | 170 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (104) | (104) | (104) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 49 | 57 | 66 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 77.2 | 77.2 | 77.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.85 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.73 | 0.85 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.6% | -25.0% | -14.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CE | KOP | NTR | AXTA | CRKN | FPR | |
| Enterprise Value | 16,636 | 1,688 | 40,091 | 9,001 | (17) | 181 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 951 | 34 | 1,387 | 625 | 22 | 27 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,220 | 0 | 407 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (13,146) | (1,073) | (13,638) | (3,415) | (2) | (131) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (429) | (0) | (31) | (46) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,232 | 649 | 28,216 | 6,166 | 3 | 77 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 109.4 | 20.0 | 486.9 | 216.6 | 3.4 | 77.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 47.82 | 32.44 | 57.95 | 28.47 | 0.78 | 0.99 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 47.82 | 32.44 | 57.95 | 28.47 | 0.78 | 0.85 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |