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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 18.1x - 20.0x | 19.1x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 16.4x - 18.2x | 17.3x |
Fair Value | €25.07 - €27.71 | €26.39 |
Upside | -15.1% - -6.2% | -10.6% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Newmont Corporation | - | NYSE:NEM |
Southern Copper Corporation | - | NYSE:SCCO |
AngloGold Ashanti plc | - | NYSE:AU |
Alcoa Corporation | - | NYSE:AA |
South32 Limited | - | OTCPK:SHTL.F |
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | - | DB:FPMB |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NEM | SCCO | AU | AA | SHTL.F | FPMB | |||
NYSE:NEM | NYSE:SCCO | NYSE:AU | NYSE:AA | OTCPK:SHTL.F | DB:FPMB | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.7% | 17.8% | 22.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 43.5% | -0.2% | 17.8% | -49.3% | NM- | -24.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 230.1% | 39.2% | 527.2% | 108.6% | 82.1% | 2.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.9% | 25.5% | 9.5% | -1.7% | 4.8% | 15.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -21.3% | 24.5% | -5.1% | -6.2% | -10.7% | 8.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.6% | 29.5% | 17.3% | 0.5% | -11.4% | 7.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.6% | 29.5% | 17.3% | 0.5% | -3.8% | 7.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 11.2x | 11.1x | 4.6x | 6.8x | 6.8x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.4x | 6.0x | 4.0x | 0.5x | 1.2x | 1.9x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 19.2x | 20.2x | 22.9x | 114.1x | -32.0x | 25.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -32.0x | 20.2x | 114.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -363.5x | 15.7x | 28.4x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 18.1x | 19.1x | 20.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 1,883 | 1,883 | 1,883 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 34,157 | 35,954 | 37,752 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,437.1 | 1,437.1 | 1,437.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 23.77 | 25.02 | 26.27 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.91 | 22.01 | 23.11 | 29.53 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -29.2% | -25.5% | -21.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NEM | SCCO | AU | AA | SHTL.F | FPMB | |
Value of Common Equity | 63,070 | 68,623 | 22,971 | 6,490 | 7,746 | 48,246 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,127.3 | 796.2 | 503.5 | 258.9 | 5,112.8 | 1,437.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 55.95 | 86.19 | 45.62 | 25.07 | 1.52 | 33.57 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.95 | 86.19 | 45.62 | 25.07 | 1.52 | 29.53 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 |