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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.9x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
Fair Value | €7.21 - €10.92 | €9.07 |
Upside | -12.9% - 31.8% | 9.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
General Motors Company | GM | NYSE:GM |
Envirotech Vehicles, Inc. | EVTV | NasdaqCM:EVTV |
Rivian Automotive, Inc. | RIVN | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
ECD Automotive Design, Inc. | ECDA | NasdaqCM:ECDA |
Lucid Group, Inc. | LCID | NasdaqGS:LCID |
Ford Motor Company | FMC1 | DB:FMC1 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
GM | EVTV | RIVN | ECDA | LCID | FMC1 | |||
NYSE:GM | NasdaqCM:EVTV | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqCM:ECDA | NasdaqGS:LCID | DB:FMC1 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 181.3% | 3.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 13.9% | 218.3% | 348.7% | NM- | 210.0% | 10.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.1% | -62.7% | 12.1% | 27.4% | 35.7% | 5.0% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.1% | -292.2% | -16201.0% | -11.1% | -5627.5% | 2.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.6% | -149.9% | -129.4% | -15.9% | -516.6% | 3.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.8% | -266.0% | -94.3% | -4.5% | -371.4% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.8% | -424.9% | -94.3% | -11.1% | -371.4% | 2.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.79x | 2.77x | 2.18x | 1.59x | 7.88x | 0.89x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.7x | -0.7x | -2.3x | -14.3x | -2.1x | 31.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.23x | 2.47x | 2.72x | 0.94x | 9.49x | 0.21x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.79x | 2.18x | 7.88x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 0.93x | 1.43x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.85x | 0.89x | 0.94x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 184,992 | 184,992 | 184,992 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 157,023 | 165,287 | 173,552 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (125,824) | (125,824) | (125,824) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 31,199 | 39,463 | 47,728 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,976.5 | 3,976.5 | 3,976.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 7.85 | 9.92 | 12.00 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.95 | 8.79 | 10.64 | 8.28 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -16.1% | 6.2% | 28.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GM | EVTV | RIVN | ECDA | LCID | FMC1 | |
Enterprise Value | 149,849 | 5 | 10,776 | 32 | 6,093 | 163,000 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 22,037 | 1 | 7,700 | 4 | 4,031 | 28,370 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 5,896 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,050 | 6,691 | |
(-) Debt | (130,947) | (1) | (5,005) | (17) | (2,477) | (160,862) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (2,518) | 0 | (4) | 0 | 0 | (23) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | (1,300) | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 44,317 | 4 | 13,467 | 19 | 7,397 | 37,176 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 995.0 | 16.8 | 1,130.7 | 35.4 | 3,031.5 | 3,976.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 44.54 | 0.26 | 11.91 | 0.54 | 2.44 | 9.35 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 44.54 | 0.26 | 11.91 | 0.54 | 2.44 | 8.28 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 |