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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.9x - 4.3x | 4.1x |
| Fair Value | €23.52 - €25.63 | €24.58 |
| Upside | -2.0% - 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Okura Industrial Co., Ltd. | 4221 | TSE:4221 |
| Nissan Chemical Corporation | 4021 | TSE:4021 |
| Tokyo Printing Ink Mfg. Co., Ltd. | 4635 | TSE:4635 |
| MANAC Chemical Partners Co.,Ltd | 4360 | TSE:4360 |
| Teijin Limited | 3401 | TSE:3401 |
| ZACROS Corporation | FJ3 | DB:FJ3 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4221 | 4021 | 4635 | 4360 | 3401 | FJ3 | ||
| TSE:4221 | TSE:4021 | TSE:4635 | TSE:4360 | TSE:3401 | DB:FJ3 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | NM- | NM- | 3.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 1.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | -51.1% | NM- | 0.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.7% | 19.9% | 59.7% | 105.9% | -18.8% | 2.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.3% | 27.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.6% | 27.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.3% | 28.3% | 6.0% | 1.5% | -0.9% | 10.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.8% | 28.4% | NA | 3.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.45x | 2.72x | 0.30x | 0.12x | 0.46x | 0.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.5x | 9.6x | 4.4x | 3.5x | 5.8x | 4.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 11.8x | 8.3x | -8.4x | 42.6x | 6.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.5x | 4.4x | 9.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.8x | 3.5x | 4.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.0x | 4.2x | 4.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 16,184 | 16,184 | 16,184 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 64,348 | 67,734 | 71,121 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 11,170 | 11,170 | 11,170 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 75,518 | 78,904 | 82,291 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.2 | 18.2 | 18.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4,142.51 | 4,328.29 | 4,514.07 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 172.7 | 172.7 | 172.7 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.99 | 25.07 | 26.14 | 24.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 8.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4221 | 4021 | 4635 | 4360 | 3401 | FJ3 | |
| Enterprise Value | 38,316 | 714,437 | 14,417 | 113 | 453,993 | 64,378 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,860 | 33,545 | 3,417 | 3,092 | 215,598 | 20,425 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9,210 | 26,005 | 5,138 | 1,577 | 73,254 | 3,585 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,899) | (49,818) | (7,284) | 0 | (492,197) | (4,437) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (31) | (3,356) | (202) | 0 | (4,244) | (8,403) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 51,456 | 720,813 | 15,486 | 4,782 | 246,404 | 75,548 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 11.3 | 135.2 | 2.5 | 8.1 | 192.7 | 18.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4,555.00 | 5,333.00 | 6,120.00 | 590.00 | 1,278.50 | 4,144.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.67 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4,555.00 | 5,333.00 | 6,120.00 | 590.00 | 1,278.50 | 24.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 172.67 | |