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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 28.3x - 31.3x | 29.8x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
Fair Value | €0.99 - €1.06 | €1.03 |
Upside | -38.3% - -34.2% | -36.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Amigo Holdings PLC | AMGO | LSE:AMGO |
PayPal Holdings, Inc. | 0R9U | LSE:0R9U |
Block, Inc. | 0L95 | LSE:0L95 |
Ramsdens Holdings PLC | RFX | AIM:RFX |
H&T Group plc | HAT | AIM:HAT |
Funding Circle Holdings plc | FCA | DB:FCA |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AMGO | 0R9U | 0L95 | RFX | HAT | FCA | ||
LSE:AMGO | LSE:0R9U | LSE:0L95 | AIM:RFX | AIM:HAT | DB:FCA | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 12.6% | 74.5% | 12.7% | 23.8% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 5.7% | 70.1% | 162.1% | 71.2% | -57.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 87.3% | 10.8% | 64.3% | 24.6% | 34.8% | 289.7% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 87.1% | 19.4% | 1.7% | 13.1% | 17.1% | -14.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -540.0% | 18.3% | 1.2% | 15.2% | 24.8% | -2.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -2400.0% | 19.4% | 5.6% | 15.1% | 27.8% | 3.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -2400.0% | 20.2% | 6.7% | 16.2% | 27.8% | 3.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | -32.74x | 1.97x | 1.88x | 1.06x | 1.36x | 2.21x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.4x | 9.7x | 28.2x | 6.6x | 4.9x | 64.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 1.2x | 10.5x | 34.8x | 7.5x | 5.2x | 82.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.4x | 6.6x | 28.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.8x | 5.7x | 64.4x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 28.3x | 29.8x | 31.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 156 | 164 | 172 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 256 | 264 | 272 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 315.8 | 315.8 | 315.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.86 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.94 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 1.61 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -41.7% | -39.9% | -38.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AMGO | 0R9U | 0L95 | RFX | HAT | FCA | |
Enterprise Value | (3) | 63,378 | 43,960 | 110 | 360 | 339 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5 | 10,008 | 6,782 | 10 | 15 | 190 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3,645 | 443 | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (12,172) | (6,122) | (12) | (89) | (110) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1 | 64,859 | 45,096 | 108 | 285 | 439 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 570.4 | 955.4 | 609.6 | 32.4 | 44.0 | 315.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.00 | 67.89 | 73.98 | 3.35 | 6.48 | 1.39 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.86 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 67.89 | 73.98 | 3.35 | 6.48 | 1.61 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | USD | USD | GBP | GBP | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.86 |