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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.8x - 14.2x | 13.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
| Fair Value | €18.93 - €20.79 | €19.86 |
| Upside | 21.3% - 33.3% | 27.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Loihde Oyj | LOIHDE | HLSE:LOIHDE |
| init innovation in traffic systems SE | IXX | XTRA:IXX |
| Mensch und Maschine Software SE | MUM | XTRA:MUM |
| IT Link SA | IL8 | DB:IL8 |
| F-Secure Oyj | 3I6 | DB:3I6 |
| Fabasoft AG | FAA | DB:FAA |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| LOIHDE | IXX | MUM | IL8 | 3I6 | FAA | ||
| HLSE:LOIHDE | XTRA:IXX | XTRA:MUM | DB:IL8 | DB:3I6 | DB:FAA | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | NM- | 4.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 83.6% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | -2.9% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -28.1% | 2.5% | -6.7% | 5.1% | -6.1% | 19.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 30.0% | 18.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 28.7% | 17.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 27.3% | 17.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.1% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 25.2% | 17.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.50x | 1.82x | 3.21x | 0.49x | 3.02x | 1.83x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.4x | 14.8x | 15.8x | 6.1x | 9.1x | 7.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 43.6x | 20.4x | 19.2x | 6.7x | 12.0x | 10.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.7x | 19.2x | 43.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | 18.5x | 25.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.8x | 13.5x | 14.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 15 | 15 | 15 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 197 | 208 | 218 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 13 | 13 | 13 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 211 | 221 | 232 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.56 | 20.52 | 21.49 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.56 | 20.52 | 21.49 | 15.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 25.4% | 31.5% | 37.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LOIHDE | IXX | MUM | IL8 | 3I6 | FAA | |
| Enterprise Value | 71 | 511 | 870 | 43 | 443 | 155 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7 | 26 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 32 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (13) | (91) | (33) | (8) | (167) | (18) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (6) | 0 | 0 | (2) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 65 | 447 | 857 | 45 | 290 | 168 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.7 | 9.9 | 16.6 | 1.7 | 174.7 | 10.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.25 | 45.30 | 51.50 | 26.20 | 1.66 | 15.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.25 | 45.30 | 51.50 | 26.20 | 1.66 | 15.60 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |