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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.2x - 1.4x | 1.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.2x - 1.3x | 1.3x |
| Fair Value | €86.68 - €95.41 | €91.05 |
| Upside | -16.8% - -8.4% | -12.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | CHRW | NasdaqGS:CHRW |
| United Parcel Service, Inc. | UPS | NYSE:UPS |
| FedEx Corporation | FDX | NYSE:FDX |
| Hub Group, Inc. | HUBG | NasdaqGS:HUBG |
| Forward Air Corporation | FWRD | NasdaqGS:FWRD |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | EW1 | DB:EW1 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CHRW | UPS | FDX | HUBG | FWRD | EW1 | |||
| NasdaqGS:CHRW | NYSE:UPS | NYSE:FDX | NasdaqGS:HUBG | NasdaqGS:FWRD | DB:EW1 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 15.3% | 5.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -8.5% | -2.2% | 1.5% | -2.3% | 21.3% | -13.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | -6.1% | 80.5% | 14.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 9.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 9.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.69x | 1.11x | 0.93x | 0.62x | 1.05x | 1.31x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.2x | 12.7x | 12.2x | 17.1x | 55.2x | 13.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.60x | 0.90x | 0.56x | 0.50x | 0.19x | 1.36x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.62x | 0.93x | 1.11x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.78x | 1.52x | 1.74x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.24x | 1.31x | 1.37x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 10,601 | 10,601 | 10,601 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 13,173 | 13,866 | 14,560 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 577 | 577 | 577 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,750 | 14,443 | 15,136 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 137.8 | 137.8 | 137.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 99.81 | 104.84 | 109.88 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 87.37 | 91.77 | 96.18 | 104.15 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.1% | -11.9% | -7.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRW | UPS | FDX | HUBG | FWRD | EW1 | |
| Enterprise Value | 12,269 | 101,088 | 80,871 | 2,431 | 2,592 | 15,815 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 146 | 6,318 | 5,207 | 98 | 105 | 1,148 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 346 | 447 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,741) | (25,652) | (37,031) | (509) | (2,146) | (569) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (25) | 0 | (47) | (84) | (3) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,674 | 82,075 | 49,494 | 1,974 | 467 | 16,391 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 118.2 | 847.5 | 239.6 | 61.3 | 30.4 | 137.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 90.28 | 96.84 | 206.57 | 32.22 | 15.35 | 118.99 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 90.28 | 96.84 | 206.57 | 32.22 | 15.35 | 104.15 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |