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觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

Enel SpA

DB:ENL

意大利 / 公用事業 / 電力公用事業

5 年 DCF 增長退出價

股價

7.75 EUR

公允價值

8.73 EUR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	9.5% - 8.5%	9.0%
Perpetuity Growth Rate	4.3% - 5.3%	4.8%
Fair Value	€5.77 - €13.53	€8.73
Upside	-25.5% - 74.6%	12.8%

5.0%

Revenue 5y CAGR

28.5%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

20.5%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit

股價

7.75 EUR

公允價值

8.73 EUR

看漲

12.8%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(EUR in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	75,709	78,238	83,364	83,231	81,948	96,536
% Growth	-19.7%	3.3%	6.6%	-0.2%	-1.5%	17.8%

EBITDA	18,527	22,999	23,738	24,301	24,401	24,897
% of Revenue	24.5%	29.4%	28.5%	29.2%	29.8%	25.8%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Terminal

EBITDA		22,999	23,738	24,301	24,401	24,897	24,897
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(8,154)	(8,406)	(8,588)	(8,732)	(9,235)	(11,324)

EBIT		14,845	15,332	15,713	15,669	15,662	13,573
Pro forma Taxes		(5,196)	(5,366)	(5,500)	(5,484)	(5,482)	(4,751)
NOPAT	9,103	9,649	9,966	10,213	10,185	10,180	8,823

Capital Expenditures	(8,931)	(12,435)	(13,982)	(14,287)	(11,902)	(11,920)	(11,920)
NWC Investment	(1,331)	182	369	(10)	(92)	1,049	330
(+) D&A	4,522	8,154	8,406	8,588	8,732	9,235	11,324

Free Cash Flow	3,363	5,550	4,758	4,504	6,923	8,544	8,556
% Growth		65%	-14%	-5%	54%	23%	0%

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