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RENE
-4.2%
9PAA
-3.1%
1EVN
2.4%
HK
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DB:ENL
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€
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
7.75
EUR
公允價值
7.48
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
9.5% - 8.5%
9.0%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
3.8% - 4.8%
4.3%
Fair Value
€5.21 - €10.92
€7.48
Upside
-32.7% - 41.0%
-3.5%
-0.7%
Revenue 10y CAGR
32.1%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
11.5%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
分享
儲存
股價
7.75
EUR
公允價值
7.48
EUR
看漲
-3.5%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(EUR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
75,709
78,238
83,364
83,231
81,948
96,536
70,309
70,309
70,309
70,309
70,309
% Growth
-19.7%
3.3%
6.6%
-0.2%
-1.5%
17.8%
-27.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
EBITDA
18,527
22,999
23,738
24,301
24,401
24,897
25,095
25,095
25,095
25,095
25,095
% of Revenue
24.5%
29.4%
28.5%
29.2%
29.8%
25.8%
35.7%
35.7%
35.7%
35.7%
35.7%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
22,999
23,738
24,301
24,401
24,897
25,095
25,095
25,095
25,095
25,095
25,095
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(8,154)
(8,406)
(8,588)
(8,732)
(9,235)
(6,726)
(6,726)
(6,726)
(6,726)
(6,726)
(8,247)
EBIT
14,845
15,332
15,713
15,669
15,662
18,369
18,369
18,369
18,369
18,369
16,848
Pro forma Taxes
(5,196)
(5,366)
(5,500)
(5,484)
(5,482)
(6,429)
(6,429)
(6,429)
(6,429)
(6,429)
(5,897)
NOPAT
9,103
9,649
9,966
10,213
10,185
10,180
11,940
11,940
11,940
11,940
11,940
10,951
Capital Expenditures
(8,931)
(12,435)
(13,982)
(14,287)
(11,902)
(11,920)
(8,681)
(8,681)
(8,681)
(8,681)
(8,681)
(8,681)
NWC Investment
(1,331)
182
369
(10)
(92)
1,049
(1,886)
0
0
0
0
215
(+) D&A
4,522
8,154
8,406
8,588
8,732
9,235
6,726
6,726
6,726
6,726
6,726
8,247
Free Cash Flow
3,363
5,550
4,758
4,504
6,923
8,544
8,099
9,985
9,985
9,985
9,985
10,732
% Growth
65%
-14%
-5%
54%
23%
-5%
23%
0%
0%
0%
7%
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