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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | €22.85 - €27.56 | €25.21 |
| Upside | 0.2% - 20.9% | 10.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Vinci SA | DG | ENXTPA:DG |
| Bouygues SA | EN | ENXTPA:EN |
| Koninklijke Heijmans N.V. | HEIJM | ENXTAM:HEIJM |
| Koninklijke BAM Groep nv | BAMNB | ENXTAM:BAMNB |
| Fugro N.V. | FUR | ENXTAM:FUR |
| Eiffage SA | EF30 | DB:EF30 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| DG | EN | HEIJM | BAMNB | FUR | EF30 | |||
| ENXTPA:DG | ENXTPA:EN | ENXTAM:HEIJM | ENXTAM:BAMNB | ENXTAM:FUR | DB:EF30 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | -2.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | -4.1% | 15.9% | 7.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.1% | 1.3% | 22.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 5.8% | 9.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.27x | 0.41x | 0.43x | 0.13x | 0.57x | 0.85x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.7x | 10.6x | 10.0x | 6.0x | 4.2x | 8.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.93x | 0.25x | 0.47x | 0.22x | 0.55x | 0.44x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.13x | 0.43x | 1.27x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.85x | 0.92x | 1.22x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.84x | 0.88x | 0.92x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 24,041 | 24,041 | 24,041 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20,116 | 21,174 | 22,233 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9,769) | (9,769) | (9,769) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,347 | 11,405 | 12,464 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 446.6 | 446.6 | 446.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 23.17 | 25.54 | 27.91 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.17 | 25.54 | 27.91 | 22.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 1.6% | 12.0% | 22.4% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DG | EN | HEIJM | BAMNB | FUR | EF30 | |
| Enterprise Value | 92,137 | 23,313 | 1,107 | 822 | 1,297 | 19,951 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 16,094 | 5,567 | 105 | 765 | 319 | 6,025 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 3,229 | 1,932 | 106 | 179 | 64 | 2,339 | |
| (-) Debt | (39,407) | (14,772) | (115) | (323) | (416) | (16,699) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (4,085) | (1,812) | 0 | (0) | (17) | (1,434) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 67,968 | 14,228 | 1,202 | 1,443 | 1,247 | 10,182 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 562.4 | 376.7 | 27.5 | 263.5 | 110.5 | 446.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 120.85 | 37.77 | 43.76 | 5.48 | 11.29 | 22.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 120.85 | 37.77 | 43.76 | 5.48 | 11.29 | 22.80 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |