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DB:EF30
法國 / 工業 / 建造及工程
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股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
22.40
EUR
公允價值
37.49
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
11.8% - 10.8%
11.3%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
6.5x - 8.5x
7.5x
Fair Value
€32.13 - €43.25
€37.49
Upside
43.4% - 93.1%
67.4%
2.3%
Revenue 10y CAGR
15.9%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
-0.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
22.40
EUR
公允價值
37.49
EUR
看漲
67.4%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(EUR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
24,041
24,598
25,389
26,223
26,536
27,377
27,925
28,483
29,053
29,634
30,226
% Growth
7.4%
2.3%
3.2%
3.3%
1.2%
3.2%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
3,564
4,083
4,216
4,376
4,084
4,295
4,381
4,469
4,558
4,649
4,742
% of Revenue
14.8%
16.6%
16.6%
16.7%
15.4%
15.7%
15.7%
15.7%
15.7%
15.7%
15.7%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
4,083
4,216
4,376
4,084
4,295
4,381
4,469
4,558
4,649
4,742
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(1,507)
(1,550)
(1,601)
(1,289)
(1,289)
(1,315)
(1,341)
(1,368)
(1,395)
(1,423)
EBIT
2,576
2,666
2,775
2,795
3,006
3,066
3,127
3,190
3,254
3,319
Pro forma Taxes
(747)
(773)
(805)
(811)
(872)
(889)
(907)
(925)
(944)
(962)
NOPAT
1,737
1,829
1,893
1,970
1,984
2,134
2,177
2,220
2,265
2,310
2,356
Capital Expenditures
(488)
(1,287)
(1,374)
(1,297)
(1,384)
(1,398)
(1,360)
(1,381)
(1,379)
(1,373)
(1,378)
NWC Investment
161
54
77
81
30
82
53
54
56
57
58
(+) D&A
1,117
1,507
1,550
1,601
1,289
1,289
1,315
1,341
1,368
1,395
1,423
Free Cash Flow
2,527
2,103
2,146
2,356
1,920
2,107
2,185
2,235
2,309
2,389
2,460
% Growth
-17%
2%
10%
-18%
10%
4%
2%
3%
3%
3%
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