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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.3x - 13.6x | 13.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.8x - 10.9x | 10.4x |
| Fair Value | €0.75 - €0.91 | €0.83 |
| Upside | -3.4% - 16.9% | 6.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Binhai Investment Company Limited | 2886 | SEHK:2886 |
| Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 135 | SEHK:135 |
| Beijing Gas Blue Sky Holdings Limited | 6828 | SEHK:6828 |
| China Oil And Gas Group Limited | 603 | SEHK:603 |
| Global Strategic Group Limited | 8007 | SEHK:8007 |
| China Gas Holdings Limited | EBZ | DB:EBZ |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2886 | 135 | 6828 | 603 | 8007 | EBZ | ||
| SEHK:2886 | SEHK:135 | SEHK:6828 | SEHK:603 | SEHK:8007 | DB:EBZ | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.8% | 11.8% | NM- | 4.8% | NM- | -10.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -9.7% | 8.5% | NM- | -14.6% | NM- | -24.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -24.4% | -1.3% | 34.1% | 32.0% | 86.5% | 17.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.4% | 6.4% | -13.3% | 9.1% | -29.5% | 12.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.4% | 6.8% | -6.9% | 5.6% | -9.8% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.6% | 6.4% | -5.8% | 7.7% | -1.0% | 6.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | 6.4% | -5.8% | 7.7% | -1.0% | 7.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.70x | 0.26x | 0.58x | 0.38x | 1.05x | 0.92x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 2.9x | 621.0x | 3.2x | 11.3x | 8.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.6x | 4.0x | -10.0x | 5.0x | -106.2x | 12.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -106.2x | 4.0x | 10.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.3x | 13.0x | 14.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.3x | 13.0x | 13.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 5,741 | 5,741 | 5,741 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 70,816 | 74,544 | 78,271 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (35,824) | (35,824) | (35,824) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 34,993 | 38,720 | 42,447 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,448.2 | 5,448.2 | 5,448.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 6.42 | 7.11 | 7.79 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/EUR | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.73 | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.78 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.3% | 3.7% | 13.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2886 | 135 | 6828 | 603 | 8007 | EBZ | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,329 | 47,957 | 982 | 6,785 | 232 | 73,171 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 387 | 45,092 | 360 | 4,348 | 24 | 9,232 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 322 | 14,988 | 1,993 | 1,675 | 0 | 22,758 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,342) | (24,279) | (2,348) | (8,575) | (147) | (60,771) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (82) | (23,686) | (124) | (3,554) | (96) | (7,042) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | (144) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,470 | 60,072 | 864 | 678 | 14 | 37,348 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,374.1 | 8,658.8 | 22,736.1 | 4,806.8 | 455.9 | 5,448.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.07 | 6.94 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 6.86 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.79 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.07 | 7.40 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.78 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.79 | |